Quote:I swear everyone loses all common sense when the Jaguars sneak a win.
Hopefully I can provide a sensible, factual perspective.
Over the last 20 years, EIGHTY TWO (82) rookie QBs got starts and played enough to be given a win or a loss, according to information obtained from pro football reference.
These rookie QBs have played with a variety of coaches and coordinators, from Bill Belicheck and Bill Cowher and Mike Shanahan to Norv Turner, Cam Cameron, and John Fox. The rookies range from hall of fame candidates like Peyton Manning to complete busts like Jamarcus Russell, and any number of quality passers in between.
Assuming my numbers are right...
Combined, these rookies managed to accumulate 294 wins between them-or an average of 3.58 wins per rookie season.
These same rookies managed to accumulate 510 losses between them-or an average of 6.21 losses per rookie season.
These numbers include the 13-0 2004 rookie season by Ben Roethlisberger, the twin 11-5 seasons put up by MAtt Ryan and Joe Flacco in 2008, and the 2012 "bumper crop" of rookie QBs Andrew Luck (11-5), RG III (9-6), and Russell Wilson (11-5).
The overwhelming majority of rookie QBs-even those with good to great head coaches/coordinators, and even those who wound up to be good to great QBs-wound up with losing records.
Under the expectations created by the last 20 years of rookie QB performance, the expectation is that the teams QBed by these rookies lose about twice as many as they win.
Jacksonville has played 12 of the team's 15 games this year with a rookie QB. None of the rookie QBs this year have even .500 records as starters.
I think people evaluating coaching performance (and player performance) should keep this in mind when evaluating Bradley et al.