05-07-2014, 07:39 AM
Quote:What's the old saying, "correlation does not imply causation"? Something like that. You can cite all the stats you want about drafting WR vs LB or DE in the top 5, but unless you can tell me a REASON why one leads to the Super Bowl and the other does not, then it is just data mining. It's like saying "if you buy stock on the first Tuesday of a month that begins with a J, you do better than if you buy stock on the last Friday of a month that begins with A. Or drafting a QB whose name begins with a vowel is better than drafting a QB whose name begins with a consonant. It's just a coincidence.
Data, statistics, are worthless unless they reveal some kind of underlying truth.
So to say, drafting a LB/DE is better than drafting a WR, to me, reveals no kind of truth that I would act on. It's just a worthless stat.
I am so happy that you posted this.