Rd 1 #3) QB Teddy Bridgewater:
(Expecting Bortles and Clowney to be gone) I know many will hate this pick as Teddy has fallen out of favor, but I see a franchise QB in him. To me accuracy is the most important trait and his accuracy is the best in the class. He also improves each year.
Year...2011...2012...2013
Pct...64.5...68.5...71.0
Yds...2129..3718...3970
Y/A....7.2....8.9....9.3
TD....14....27....31
If you look at his toughest opponents, he's just as good if not better.
Sugar Bowl vs. UF in 2012: 20 of 32 for 266 yards 2 TDs and 1 INT
vs. UCF in 2013: 29 of 38 for 341 yards 2 TDs and 0 INT (Including late 4Q drive for TD to take the lead)
Russell Athletic Bowl vs. Miami in 2013: 35 of 45 for 447 yards 3 TDs and 0 INT
From the eye-test he's got a quick release, an average NFL arm, and makes great decisions. He's got enough height and while people criticize his frame he's never missed a game due to injury and is not going to be scrambling like many other QBs where he'll take an excessive number of hits.
Rd 2 #39) LB Kyle Van Noy:
While defense isn't the emphasis this year, there are sometimes the value is just too good to pass up. Perfect LB for Gus's system. Has flexibility to cover in man, zone, or blitz from any of the three LB spots. He's the first of a couple standouts from the Senior Bowl South roster I'm sending the Jags way.
Rd 3 #70) WR Jordan Matthews:
Believe it or not a 6'3 WR with two straight seasons of 90+ receptions and 1300+ yards in the SEC is ranked as the #12 WR in this deep deep class by cbssports.com. Maybe he's not the one that falls to us here, but there will be a really good WR available here. Second guy from Senior Bowl South, but would have mocked him here even if he wasn't.
Rd 4 #105) OG David Yankey:
Former All-American is a little bit of a throwback with a 40 time (5.48) you'd expect from a guard in the 90s. However that doesn't really show how quick he is in tight spaces which is why even at 6'6 and LT experience he projects as a great guard in the NFL.
Rd 4 #114) RB Jerick McKinnon:
A poor man's MJD, he's got speed, strength, and a chip on his shoulder. He is learning the RB position after switching from option QB, but just needs to work on being a receiver and pass blocker. He already has great vision and fundamentals running the ball. His is a much easier transition than Denard's from last year. He caught several people’s eye by lighting up FSU’s Telvin Smith at an early Senior Bowl south practice.
Rd 5 #144) WR TJ Jones:
Good size, speed, and noted for his route running, this WR from Notre Dame should fill out multiple receiver sets will having enough size to backup Cecil, Matthews, and/or Blackmon on the outside.
Rd 5 #150) QB AJ McCarron:
While many may expect McCarron to go earlier, there are always a few QBs that fall drastically, particularly from the second tier. I think this is a good spot to take that falling QB whether it’s McCarron, Mettenburger, or Garoppolo.
Rd 5 #159) OT Seantrel Henderson:
The massive Henderson (6’7 330) showed well in Senior Bowl practices and could be groomed as a competitor for the starting RT spot or as a swing tackle.
Rd 6 #179) LB Kevin Pierre-Louis:
Undersized speedy LB fills out the depth chart at our weakest spot on defense. Will likely be a special teams ace with his 4.5 speed and 230 pound frame.
Rd 6 #205) WR Jalen Saunders:
Undersized slot receiver and return specialist. All about adding speed from yet another Senior Bowl south standout.
Rd 7 #222) TE Blake Annen:
This pick is about potential. There aren’t very many 6’4 250 lb men that can run a 4.4 40 yard dash. Only had 15 catches his senior year, but put him on the practice squad for a year and see if we can coach him up to be something special.
yankey, and mathews and AJ will be long gone by those picks and possibly van noy
Quote:yankey, and mathews and AJ will be long gone by those picks and possibly van noy
I'll bet at least two of the four will be available. And for those that aren't, someone else at a similar level from their position will be as I addressed in the comments next to those picks.
Just as people will be surprised at how early Logan Thomas goes, people on here will be surprised at how low Yankey goes. I can't think of a player who was more disappointing compared to the hype I had heard when I went and watched him. 4th round is the right spot for him without a doubt to me.
good value, unlikely though.
No to Seantrel Henderson. I don't care what round you want him.
He has all of the ability in the world, and no desire to put it to any use. If he wants to go the UDFA route and compete for a spot, that's one thing; spend a draft pick on him? No thank you.
Quote:good value, unlikely though.
Based availability largely off of the cbssports.com player rankings. And if you really mean merely unlikely and not impossible, I'll take that as a huge compliment.
Quote:You must like Brewster
More I greatly dislike this center class. I only see two starter caliber players, they're nothing special and will be gone while there are still difference makers at other positions on the board. Caldwell has shown he won't reach for need, especially early in the rebuild and I think we have to get by at center for another year.
Quote:Just as people will be surprised at how early Logan Thomas goes
If he is drafted as a quarterback, I don't see him going too early. Not higher than Garrap, Savage, Mettenberger, maybe even not McCarron. If he's drafted by a team as an athlete/position change/posssssssible QB, I too see him going quite early.
Quote:Just as people will be surprised at how early Logan Thomas goes, people on here will be surprised at how low Yankey goes. I can't think of a player who was more disappointing compared to the hype I had heard when I went and watched him. 4th round is the right spot for him without a doubt to me.
I agree. I think the entire G and C class aren't quite as good as Jag fans are expecting or even perhaps needing them to be. When you have a need, it's natural to talk yourself into picks. As fans we'd prefer them to be filled and expect things to work out.
I'd be surprised if we went after any C or G higher than fourth round. I wouldn't be surprised if instead we found a RT earlier than that, given the right circumstances.
Quote:More I greatly dislike this center class. I only see two starter caliber players, they're nothing special and will be gone while there are still difference makers at other positions on the board. Caldwell has shown he won't reach for need, especially early in the rebuild and I think we have to get by at center for another year.
I dont know which one you left out but I see all 3 of the guys at the top of this list as day one starters which seems pretty average to me for a draft class.
http://nfl.si.com/2014/04/01/2014-nfl-dr...s-centers/
How many day 1 starters at the c position do you usually get out of a draft class ?
Quote:But you take Teddy at 3
![[Image: roflmao.gif]](http://forums.prosportsdaily.com/images/smilies/roflmao.gif)
Quote:I dont know which one you left out but I see all 3 of the guys at the top of this list as day one starters which seems pretty average to me for a draft class.
http://nfl.si.com/2014/04/01/2014-nfl-dr...s-centers/
How many day 1 starters at the c position do you usually get out of a draft class ?
I take Teddy at 3 because I feel he's the second best player in the draft. I could certainly be wrong, but my admitted amateur evaluation it's not a reach.
As for the centers, you probably have Swanson as starting material where I don't. And no, the center class is not weak compared to other center classes. It is weak when compared to the historically deep position groups that are in this draft like WR.
Jordan Matthews is the #66 draft prospect (according the cbssports.com for consistency). Yankey is #119! In a normal year no way Matthews is outside the top 50 and no way Yankey is outside the top 100. And they're not badly misranked either. There are just a LOT of good players.
I can't see drafting what will be a merely adequate starting center in rounds 2 or 3. And I can't see drafting what would only be a minor upgrade over Brewster in the 4th round. Too much value elsewhere.
Quote:I take Teddy at 3 because I feel he's the second best player in the draft. I could certainly be wrong, but my admitted amateur evaluation it's not a reach.
As for the centers, you probably have Swanson as starting material where I don't. And no, the center class is not weak compared to other center classes. It is weak when compared to the historically deep position groups that are in this draft like WR.
Jordan Matthews is the #66 draft prospect (according the cbssports.com for consistency). Yankey is #119! In a normal year no way Matthews is outside the top 50 and no way Yankey is outside the top 100. And they're not badly misranked either. There are just a LOT of good players.
I can't see drafting what will be a merely adequate starting center in rounds 2 or 3. And I can't see drafting what would only be a minor upgrade over Brewster in the 4th round. Too much value elsewhere.
I've also been going by cbssports.com as a loose guide when making my mocks, but they have Jordan Matthews a little too low I think. He and Kelvin Benjamin were a lot higher a few weeks ago, and now both have dropped for some unknown reason. The WR rankings are very subjective after the top 4. Despite his slow 40-time, Jarvis Landry should go way before his #114 ranking for instance. However, if Matthews makes it past Denver at #63, and guys like Cody Latimer, Donte Moncrief and Paul Richardson are taken before him for their "upside", then there is an outside chance he could actually be there at #70. I won't be surprised if 10-12 WR's are off the board when the 2nd round is done. Watkins, Evans, Beckham, Cooks Lee in the 1st, Benjamin(1-2), Robinson, Moncrief, Adams, Matthews, Landry, Latimer(possibly) in the 2nd.
I like some of your picks, but Caldwell won't take Teddy there. Unless Bortles is there at #3, or we trade down out of the top 10, I doubt QB will be taken in the 1st. Also, I'd take a CB/S or Center prospect in the 4th and wait for a RB like Storm Johnson in the 5th. I doubt they take 3 WR's.
Quote:I've also been going by cbssports.com as a loose guide when making my mocks, but they have Jordan Matthews a little too low I think. He and Kelvin Benjamin were a lot higher a few weeks ago, and now both have dropped for some unknown reason. The WR rankings are very subjective after the top 4. Despite his slow 40-time, Jarvis Landry should go way before his #114 ranking for instance. However, if Matthews makes it past Denver at #63, and guys like Cody Latimer, Donte Moncrief and Paul Richardson are taken before him for their "upside", then there is an outside chance he could actually be there at #70. I won't be surprised if 10-12 WR's are off the board when the 2nd round is done. Watkins, Evans, Beckham, Cooks Lee in the 1st, Benjamin(1-2), Robinson, Moncrief, Adams, Matthews, Landry, Latimer(possibly) in the 2nd.
I like some of your picks, but Caldwell won't take Teddy there. Unless Bortles is there at #3, or we trade down out of the top 10, I doubt QB will be taken in the 1st. Also, I'd take a CB/S or Center prospect in the 4th and wait for a RB like Storm Johnson in the 5th. I doubt they take 3 WR's.
Matthews is the most likely of my picks to be gone. It's hard to say which WR will fall, but due to the usual suspects that draft based on need, there will probably be really good WRs on the board at #70. That's where I think we get the best value at WR.
I'm hoping this QB talk is a smokescreen, because I'd bet against us ever winning a playoff game with any QB taken this year outside of the first round.
I would like to take a CB/S, but there is a dearth of tall press CB outside the top 3 rounds and I couldn't find a S I liked this time through. Probably will look more into the safeties next time through.
I really like McKinnon, and don't think he'll be there in round 5. Speed is too much of a premium.
As for the 3 WR, I didn't think we would take 3 CB last year . . .
Quote:Just as people will be surprised at how early Logan Thomas goes, people on here will be surprised at how low Yankey goes. I can't think of a player who was more disappointing compared to the hype I had heard when I went and watched him. 4th round is the right spot for him without a doubt to me.
logan thomas is terrible.
i like the mock. id replace bridgewater with mack probably, for maximum value, and mckinnon with a QB. might be a good spot for savage or someone like that. i think savage as a developmental guy sitting for a season or a season and a half could really develop into a steal of a starting franchise qb. that would be a big gamble though. but locking up henne for 2 years buys the jaguars some time and doesnt back them into a corner.
Quote:logan thomas is terrible.
i like the mock. id replace bridgewater with mack probably, for maximum value, and mckinnon with a QB. might be a good spot for savage or someone like that. i think savage as a developmental guy sitting for a season or a season and a half could really develop into a steal of a starting franchise qb. that would be a big gamble though. but locking up henne for 2 years buys the jaguars some time and doesnt back them into a corner.
Logan Thomas is terrible, but so is Tom Savage. I wouldn't want either on day 2, but they're both gonna happen. Granted, I haven't watched enough Savage to be real comfortable with an evaluation as there are only I think 5 of his cutups on DB.com...but I can't find anything Savage can do better than Logan.
Logan is a little bigger, has a little bit of a stronger arm, both suck w/ accuracy and decision making for the most part, both have bad pocket presence but are willing to take a hit at least. They seem pretty similar up to this point, maybe with Logan a tiny bit better. Until you get to athleticism, then Logan obviously destroys Savage.
I really don't get how someone can like Savage more than Logan...even though I do think Savage is going to be taken earlier in the draft. Personally I would be comfortable with Logan in the 4th and Savage in the 5th, but I would be ok with Logan in the third too because I realize the insane potential in him. Savage I barely even see that. I don't want him until day 3 under any circumstances.
Quote:yankey, and mathews and AJ will be long gone by those picks and possibly van noy
Quote:I'll bet at least two of the four will be available. And for those that aren't, someone else at a similar level from their position will be as I addressed in the comments next to those picks.
I should have named terms. Yankey, AJ, and VanNoy were all available.
Quote:I've also been going by cbssports.com as a loose guide when making my mocks, but they have Jordan Matthews a little too low I think. He and Kelvin Benjamin were a lot higher a few weeks ago, and now both have dropped for some unknown reason. The WR rankings are very subjective after the top 4. Despite his slow 40-time, Jarvis Landry should go way before his #114 ranking for instance. However, if Matthews makes it past Denver at #63, and guys like Cody Latimer, Donte Moncrief and Paul Richardson are taken before him for their "upside", then there is an outside chance he could actually be there at #70. I won't be surprised if 10-12 WR's are off the board when the 2nd round is done
. Watkins, Evans, Beckham, Cooks Lee in the 1st, Benjamin(1-2), Robinson, Moncrief, Adams, Matthews, Landry, Latimer(possibly) in the 2nd.
I like some of your picks, but Caldwell won't take Teddy there. Unless Bortles is there at #3,
or we trade down out of the top 10, I doubt QB will be taken in the 1st. Also, I'd take a CB/S or Center prospect in the 4th and wait for a
RB like Storm Johnson
in the 5th. I doubt they take 3 WR's.
Maybe my best post of the year.... LOL
Got Bortles and Johnson. 12 WR's taken in first 2 rounds, Landry went in the 2nd round, way before his ranking, took a CB prospect in the 4th.