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Fiat currency may have a current political or legal value, but that is separate from its inherent value. The inherent value is what you are left with when the political or legal system goes away.

The rock has value because it is rare and has certain properties humans find valuable - shiny, conductive, malleable, ductile, etc. It also holds these properties through time, which makes it useful as a storage of wealth. If all governments went away tomorrow, the rock would still have value.
(06-19-2017, 02:38 PM)Byron LeftTown Wrote: [ -> ]Fiat currency may have a current political or legal value, but that is separate from its inherent value.  The inherent value is what you are left with when the political or legal system goes away.

The rock has value because it is rare and has certain properties humans find valuable - shiny, conductive, malleable, ductile, etc.  It also holds these properties through time, which makes it useful as a storage of wealth.  If all governments went away tomorrow, the rock would still have value.
Not as much as food, water, or dare I say even bullets. Gold has many industrial and cosmetic uses, but in a more primitive society I will take food, water, land and arms, i.e. what the Constitution tried to protect for everyone. I think they had it right.

(06-19-2017, 02:02 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: [ -> ]
(06-19-2017, 01:43 PM)HandsomeRob86 Wrote: [ -> ]Correct, but even hard currency like gold is just metal that has a pretty color and physical properties that we like. Commodities are the real value, control the food and water and everything else will come to you.

Very similar to religion, ie my sacred text is the Word of God while yours is just a fairy tale. My tangible embodiment of value is acceptable while yours is just a piece of paper.

I agree. There are things at the very bottom of the hierarchy of needs, and gold or paper aren't among them.
(06-19-2017, 02:38 PM)Byron LeftTown Wrote: [ -> ]Fiat currency may have a current political or legal value, but that is separate from its inherent value.  The inherent value is what you are left with when the political or legal system goes away.

The rock has value because it is rare and has certain properties humans find valuable - shiny, conductive, malleable, ductile, etc.  It also holds these properties through time, which makes it useful as a storage of wealth.  If all governments went away tomorrow, the rock would still have value.

No, it has value because certain people value it. To some societies gold is worthless.
I hope HandsomeRob86 and flsprtsgod are just pretending not to understand.
(06-19-2017, 03:56 PM)Byron LeftTown Wrote: [ -> ]I hope HandsomeRob86 and flsprtsgod are just pretending not to understand.

Value is ascribed not inherent, that's all. It doesnt change economic reality to say so.
(06-19-2017, 03:56 PM)Byron LeftTown Wrote: [ -> ]I hope HandsomeRob86 and flsprtsgod are just pretending not to understand.

I get what you are saying. But money, real or not, is only worth what you can get for it. Some things are more basic, and therefore more important. People don't riot over not having gold, they will riot over not having food.

Now if you mean do I get it in the sense of owning real money in the form of gold or silver coinage? I think everyone should have some protection against hyperinflation, I just deny that gold and silver are the most important forms. I would put having a years supply of food as a much higher need than precious metals. But precious metals do have a place and I will not be the one without any if stuff hits the fan and that is all people will accept. Also silver can be used as a antibiotic if needed (not the best choice, but when you have no other heavy metal poisoning can get the bugs before you).
(06-19-2017, 02:38 PM)Byron LeftTown Wrote: [ -> ]Fiat currency may have a current political or legal value, but that is separate from its inherent value.  The inherent value is what you are left with when the political or legal system goes away.

The rock has value because it is rare and has certain properties humans find valuable - shiny, conductive, malleable, ductile, etc.  It also holds these properties through time, which makes it useful as a storage of wealth.  If all governments went away tomorrow, the rock would still have value.

If governments went away and the paper currencies we currently use were worthless, I don't think gold or silver would have any inherent value at all.   Who is going to trade food for jewelry?   Who's going to need gold and silver for any manufactured goods when they can't get any credit from banks to build and run a factory?   There will no no manufacturers, because there will be no credit because there will be no financial system.   Therefore no use for gold and silver other than perhaps as the new fiat currency, but they for sure won't have any of the inherent value they have today.   

So what inherent value is left for gold and silver when the political and legal system go away?   Zero.
(06-20-2017, 10:59 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]So what inherent value is left for gold and silver when the political and legal system go away?   Zero.

This is so idiotic.

(06-20-2017, 02:22 AM)HandsomeRob86 Wrote: [ -> ]I would put having a years supply of food as a much higher need than precious metals.

Note to self:  Do not hire Rob as a financial adviser.  I asked him how I should invest my $750k and he told me to go out and buy 700,934 cans of corn since Publix had them 5 for $5 (+ tax)
(06-20-2017, 09:43 PM)HURRICANE!!! Wrote: [ -> ]
(06-20-2017, 10:59 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]So what inherent value is left for gold and silver when the political and legal system go away?   Zero.

This is so idiotic.

(06-20-2017, 02:22 AM)HandsomeRob86 Wrote: [ -> ]I would put having a years supply of food as a much higher need than precious metals.

Note to self:  Do not hire Rob as a financial adviser.  I asked him how I should invest my $750k and he told me to go out and buy 700,934 cans of corn since Publix had them 5 for $5 (+ tax)

Lol. That's my position exactly. If you can't stock a year of food for less than 10k I don't know what to tell you. But I have owned REIT's, coins, regular blue chip stock. There is no one right answer, there are multiple ways to get there. Investing is different than what I would consider basic life prep (i.e. having enough food to get by a standard disaster like Katrina where stuff is wrong for months). Everyone used to can and think it was very important to have enough food in the root cellar to get thru the winter, its not radical, just old fashioned. They invested 100 years ago too, they just thought differently about life.

However, Bryon was discussing items worth in the context of inherent value. So far as inherent value, a chainsaw could be a lot more valuable than gold because of what you can do with it (i.e. cut down a tree, provide heat, sell/trade wood for food etc.). It can make help you meet basic needs even if no one wants it.

In the context of 'inherent value' you want to look at what items give you beyond what they appear on the surface.  A Louis Vuitton purse may be very desirable right now, but if things go FUBAR, what is that purse really worth? Maybe more than a reg purse, cause people might still think of it as uncommon, but certainly not what it is now. Would someone give you a weeks worth of food for it? Seed for the summer? What can that purse do for you, if no one wanted it?

That last one is a particularly important question IMO, because if it cannot help you meet basic needs at all, then you have to ask yourself have I done enough to meet my basic needs to buy this superfluous item. Anyway, we are off track, this just happens to be a favorite topic of mine.

In 2011, I was looking into moving to Australia due to QE3 (quantitative easing). I was fairly convinced that we were going to print the dollar out of existence and that hyperinflation would ensue within the decade. I still think Helicopter Ben Bernake is an idiot (or perhaps deliberately trying to destroy the dollar), and I completely disagree with Kaynesian Economics. But I no longer believe that hyperinflation is eminent. Although the removal of Dodd-Frank almost certainly means there will be another housing bust in the future.

There used to be a great video on youtube by the NIA (national inflation association) that was very educational talking about Zimbabwe, Weimar Germany and other examples of modern day hyperinflation (believe it was hyperinflation nation, also have one called college conspiracy if I remember). We have all the ingredients here in the US for hyperinflation, but its held back basically by the dollar being world reserve and us forcing countries to price oil in dollars. That doesn't mean it can't happen, just that the dollar is more abuse proof than many other currency's.

Just to clarify tho, I am not advocating NIA investment advice. It had some great educational videos especially on hyperinflation, but its investment advice needs to be taken with a grain of salt, its founder has some shady stock dealings in the past (i.e. making suggestions to buy stocks, but then selling them after his reader base would drive the price up), and was something like the youngest person ever convicted of insider trading.

If your looking for real investment advice, I greatly prefer Joshua Kennon and his basic investment series (sadly, his awesome blog is gone as he made the investment part private last year, I could read all day about the 'nifty fifty,' etc). If you have your basic needs covered, doing what Josh suggests is what I would actually advise.




TLDR: HandsomeRob is nearly the best financial advisor anyone could hope to have. You would be darned lucky to have that much corn.
No one ever got rich investing for disaster. Right now, the inherent value of a share of Microsoft stock is exactly what the market says it is, because they make products that people buy and they earn a profit.

People have made a living predicting disaster for a hundred years. They make money writing books and advertising on their websites. The people who read their books don't make any money. They just like to spout off about "fiat currency" as if that phrase implies that they know something. They don't realize they're being conned.
(06-21-2017, 08:51 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]No one ever got rich investing for disaster.   Right now, the inherent value of a share of Microsoft stock is exactly what the market says it is, because they make products that people buy and they earn a profit.  

People have made a living predicting disaster for a hundred years.   They make money writing books and advertising on their websites.   The people who read their books don't make any money.   They just like to spout off about "fiat currency" as if that phrase implies that they know something.   They don't realize they're being conned.

That's not completely accurate.

George Soros has absolutely become a billionaire betting on economic disasters and banking failures.
(06-21-2017, 11:31 AM)FBT Wrote: [ -> ]
(06-21-2017, 08:51 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]No one ever got rich investing for disaster.   Right now, the inherent value of a share of Microsoft stock is exactly what the market says it is, because they make products that people buy and they earn a profit.  

People have made a living predicting disaster for a hundred years.   They make money writing books and advertising on their websites.   The people who read their books don't make any money.   They just like to spout off about "fiat currency" as if that phrase implies that they know something.   They don't realize they're being conned.

That's not completely accurate.

George Soros has absolutely become a billionaire betting on economic disasters and banking failures.

Betting and then creating them.
Close, but no cigar.

The problem is unsustainable government, not simply one single facet of it.

Both sides are equally responsible, as long as they are unwilling to address runaway spending.

(06-21-2017, 05:38 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: [ -> ]
(06-21-2017, 11:31 AM)FBT Wrote: [ -> ]That's not completely accurate.

George Soros has absolutely become a billionaire betting on economic disasters and banking failures.

Betting and then creating them.

Absolutely.  You can tell who has (and who has not) done their homework on George Soros.

I'd wager that's also an indicator of whether or not some do their homework at all when it comes to political topics.

This is how he built his wealth, it's his formula.  There are only so many times one can wash, rinse, repeat on a global scale.  It's what he wanted to happen, and continues to want to happen, here.  There's no bigger opportunity on the planet.  There are several other small potatoes he's still after, but this is his current prize.  Chasing it like Gollum chasing his precious.  It's similarly turned him into the monster he is.  It won't end with him, as at least one of his children are part of the pursuit as well.
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