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After winning the 3rd quarter of the season despite a loss in Arizona, the Jaguars enter the home stretch of the season smack dab in the middle of the playoff hunt, currently tied record wise for first place in the AFC South at 8-4.  As it now stands, we lose the tiebreaker over the tacks due to the week 2 loss to them, but we have the tiebreakers over the Chargers and Ravens.  But we'd of course like to have the division crown, a home playoff game, and possibly a first round bye, so we've got to win these games. The tacks have a similar schedule to us down the road, except they host the Rams in week 16 for their tough game before the closing tough game against us.  Meanwhile, toe Texans and Colts occupy their rightful places in the AFC South cellar, playing out the string.

My picks...

Colts (3-9) at Bills (6-6)-The Colts were officially eliminated from the playoffs after losing 30-10 to the Jaguars.  There is rampant speculation that Colts' coach Chuck Pagano will be fired after the season, and there is also some chatter as to whether the team may prepare to move on from Andrew Luck next year. Meanwhile, the Bills, while still in the playoff hunt, are about as listless as a team could be this time of year while still technically being in it.  They are 1-4 in their last five games, only beating an equally listless and collapsing Chiefs team.  Their run defense has gone downhill since trading Marcell Dareus to the Jaguars, and QB Tyrod Taylor has had 50 and 60 yard passing games in back to back weeks.  Will they use his knee injury to return to Nathan Peterman, who had a disastrous debut at the Chargers a few weeks back?  Bills win 17-14.

49ers (2-10) at Texans (4-8)A bottom feeding team that gained a possible franchise QB in Garoppolo faces another bottom feeding team that lost a possible franchise QB in Watson.  Maybe this is a case of the devil I know being better than the one I don't, but I think the Texans win 20-13.

tacks (8-4) at Cardinals (5-7)-The Cardinals could win this game, but since I picked the tacks to lose in an upset last week, I don't have the nerve to do it again this week.  tacks win 24-14.

Seahawks (8-4) at Jaguars (8-4)-In the week's premier match up in the division, two teams in serious playoff contention meet in Everbank Field.  Listening to the talking heads, it would appear the team are opposites of each other, where people think aside from QB, the Seahawks are an average at best team, as opposed to the Jaguars, where people are think aside from QB, the Jaguars are a potential Super Bowl team.  I think Seattle's secondary has been decimated by injury, but their front seven and Earl Thomas are still worthy of respect, while Wilson absolutely terrifies me and is getting major talk for league MVP consideration.  On Special Teams, I am also worried about Lockett.  While the Jaguars receivers have struggled with drops, I think if the OL can provide good protection, the receivers can get open, while the athleticism of the Jaguars' DEs and LBs can help keep Wilson in check better than most.   In the closest thing to a playoff game the Jaguars have hosted since 1999, the Jaguars beat the Hawks 23-21.

Last week:  2-0
Overall: 23-16
Last week 2-0
Overall 30-9

Bills over Colts
Texans over 49ers
Cardinals over Titans
Seahawks over Jaguars
Bills, texans, titans, Seahawks.

I can see the Jaguars beating the Hawks, and if Fournette were healthy I think I'd have taken the Jags. Still Russell Wilson is a legit MVP level QB, it's a tall order to keep him down, and I just can't imagine the Jaguars scoring more than about 13 points this weekend.

Texans win because of home field, bills win because Indy sucks, and the titans win because they always win the close games, and I can't see Arizona pulling away with Gabbert at QB.
(12-06-2017, 07:14 PM)unf_nashvillian Wrote: [ -> ]Last week 2-0
Overall 30-9

Bills over Colts
Texans over 49ers
Cardinals over Titans
Seahawks over Jaguars

I'm kind of shocked that you picked the Cardinals to win over your team.  Care to elaborate?  Not that I disagree, just curious.
(12-06-2017, 09:42 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: [ -> ]
(12-06-2017, 07:14 PM)unf_nashvillian Wrote: [ -> ]Last week 2-0
Overall 30-9

Bills over Colts
Texans over 49ers
Cardinals over Titans
Seahawks over Jaguars

I'm kind of shocked that you picked the Cardinals to win over your team.  Care to elaborate?  Not that I disagree, just curious.

Yeah...somehow I missed that.

I would like to see your thoughts on that too.

Of course, the last time you picked against the tacks and I wanted you to explain, you guys wound up beating the Raiders in week 1.
(12-06-2017, 09:42 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: [ -> ]
(12-06-2017, 07:14 PM)unf_nashvillian Wrote: [ -> ]Last week 2-0
Overall 30-9

Bills over Colts
Texans over 49ers
Cardinals over Titans
Seahawks over Jaguars

I'm kind of shocked that you picked the Cardinals to win over your team.  Care to elaborate?  Not that I disagree, just curious.

They’ve played with fire now for a few weeks by starting super slow and it’s going to bite them eventually.  I think this could be the week. Hope I’m wrong. I also think they’re capable of dropping 40 on a lesser team if they start firing on all cylinders. They’ve just been so inconsistent all year on offense.

(12-06-2017, 09:45 PM)Bullseye Wrote: [ -> ]
(12-06-2017, 09:42 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: [ -> ]I'm kind of shocked that you picked the Cardinals to win over your team.  Care to elaborate?  Not that I disagree, just curious.

Yeah...somehow I missed that.

I would like to see your thoughts on that too.

Of course, the last time you picked against the tacks and I wanted you to explain, you guys wound up beating the Raiders in week 1.
We lost to the Raiders.
(12-06-2017, 09:47 PM)unf_nashvillian Wrote: [ -> ]
(12-06-2017, 09:42 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: [ -> ]I'm kind of shocked that you picked the Cardinals to win over your team.  Care to elaborate?  Not that I disagree, just curious.

They’ve played with fire now for a few weeks by starting super slow and it’s going to bite them eventually.  I think this could be the week. Hope I’m wrong. I also think they’re capable of dropping 40 on a lesser team if they start firing on all cylinders. They’ve just been so inconsistent all year on offense.

(12-06-2017, 09:45 PM)Bullseye Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah...somehow I missed that.

I would like to see your thoughts on that too.

Of course, the last time you picked against the tacks and I wanted you to explain, you guys wound up beating the Raiders in week 1.
We lost to the Raiders.
My mistake.  i could have sworn you won that game.

I'm glad I was wrong...and I hope I'm wrong about you guys beating the Cards.
(12-06-2017, 09:54 PM)Bullseye Wrote: [ -> ]
(12-06-2017, 09:47 PM)unf_nashvillian Wrote: [ -> ]They’ve played with fire now for a few weeks by starting super slow and it’s going to bite them eventually.  I think this could be the week. Hope I’m wrong. I also think they’re capable of dropping 40 on a lesser team if they start firing on all cylinders. They’ve just been so inconsistent all year on offense.

We lost to the Raiders.
My mistake.  i could have sworn you won that game.

I'm glad I was wrong...and I hope I'm wrong about you guys beating the Cards.
We beat the Seahawks. Maybe you’re thinking about that game. And I hope you’re spot on with your pick Smile
This is kind of a difficult week to pick.  There is so much on the line and so many possibilities.

Colts @ Bills - In my mind this game is pretty much a "toss up".  Neither team is really as bad as their record and both teams kind of remind me of the Jaguars from recent past.  I initially thought that the Colts would pull this one off, but since it's in Buffalo I'll take the home team.

49ers @ Texans - Two bottom feeders fighting for draft position.  It's a matter of which team has players with more "pride" and wants to win this game.  The 49'ers are also starting a new QB.  I'll take the Texans in this one.

Cardinals @ Titans - The Titans have somehow "scratched, clawed, crawled" their way to get to where they are in the standings.  The have played far too many games from behind against mediocre teams at best to win in the 4th quarter.  I just don't see them able to sustain that.  The Cardinals on the other hand have played some good football despite losing their star running back and starting quarterback.  I see the Titans losing this one.

Seahawks @ Jaguars - If there is a "trap game" in the Jaguars' schedule this is it.  This is a game where the Jaguars have to play well in all 3 phases of the game.  While the Seahawks' defense is down a few players, they still have a very good defense and their offense is capable of making things happen.  Russell Wilson is no joke and I believe the Jaguars are taking that into account.  I can see this as being a low scoring game and a battle of defenses.  I like our Jaguars in this game IF Blake Bortles and the rest of the offense comes to play.

TLDR;

Bills
Texans
Cardinals
Jaguars
Bills
Tinhorns
Tacks
Seahawks
I'm 27-12...

This week, here are my thoughts:

Bills over clots
Texans over 9ers
Jags over Hawks
Cards over tacks
Last week: 2-0

Overall: 31-8


Jaguars

Titans

Bills

49ers
(12-06-2017, 06:43 PM)Bullseye Wrote: [ -> ]After winning the 3rd quarter of the season despite a loss in Arizona, the Jaguars enter the home stretch of the season smack dab in the middle of the playoff hunt, currently tied record wise for first place in the AFC South at 8-4.  As it now stands, we lose the tiebreaker over the tacks due to the week 2 loss to them, but we have the tiebreakers over the Chargers and Ravens.  But we'd of course like to have the division crown, a home playoff game, and possibly a first round bye, so we've got to win these games. The tacks have a similar schedule to us down the road, except they host the Rams in week 16 for their tough game before the closing tough game against us.  Meanwhile, toe Texans and Colts occupy their rightful places in the AFC South cellar, playing out the string.

My picks...

Colts (3-9) at Bills (6-6)-The Colts were officially eliminated from the playoffs after losing 30-10 to the Jaguars.  There is rampant speculation that Colts' coach Chuck Pagano will be fired after the season, and there is also some chatter as to whether the team may prepare to move on from Andrew Luck next year. Meanwhile, the Bills, while still in the playoff hunt, are about as listless as a team could be this time of year while still technically being in it.  They are 1-4 in their last five games, only beating an equally listless and collapsing Chiefs team.  Their run defense has gone downhill since trading Marcell Dareus to the Jaguars, and QB Tyrod Taylor has had 50 and 60 yard passing games in back to back weeks.  Will they use his knee injury to return to Nathan Peterman, who had a disastrous debut at the Chargers a few weeks back?  Bills win 17-14.

49ers (2-10) at Texans (4-8)A bottom feeding team that gained a possible franchise QB in Garoppolo faces another bottom feeding team that lost a possible franchise QB in Watson.  Maybe this is a case of the devil I know being better than the one I don't, but I think the Texans win 20-13.

tacks (8-4) at Cardinals (5-7)-The Cardinals could win this game, but since I picked the tacks to lose in an upset last week, I don't have the nerve to do it again this week.  tacks win 24-14.

Seahawks (8-4) at Jaguars (8-4)-In the week's premier match up in the division, two teams in serious playoff contention meet in Everbank Field.  Listening to the talking heads, it would appear the team are opposites of each other, where people think aside from QB, the Seahawks are an average at best team, as opposed to the Jaguars, where people are think aside from QB, the Jaguars are a potential Super Bowl team.  I think Seattle's secondary has been decimated by injury, but their front seven and Earl Thomas are still worthy of respect, while Wilson absolutely terrifies me and is getting major talk for league MVP consideration.  On Special Teams, I am also worried about Lockett.  While the Jaguars receivers have struggled with drops, I think if the OL can provide good protection, the receivers can get open, while the athleticism of the Jaguars' DEs and LBs can help keep Wilson in check better than most.   In the closest thing to a playoff game the Jaguars have hosted since 1999, the Jaguars beat the Hawks 23-21.

Last week:  2-0
Overall:  23-16

Colts
49ers
Cardinals
Have to go jags. 

18-3 overall
1-1 last week
23-8 overall.  this week i will go with


Bills they are at home

Texans are at home as well plus sf isn't that good.

the next 2 games are tough to call. both could go either way. for all four teams. with that being said i will go with. due to my very bad weekend. I had a terrbille weekend. must keep faith though in jags.


Cards

Jags
For me, all of these games are too close to call.  Therefore, coin flips coming up...


(heads=home team, tails=traveling team)

Game #1 (Colts @ Bills) = TAILS = Colts
Game #2 (49ers @ Texans) = TAILS = 49ers
Game #3 (Titans @ Cardinals) = TAILS = Titans
Game #4 (Seahawks @ Jaguars) = TAILS = Seahawks




...guess this quarter doesn't like home teams <shrug>

Oh, and 2-0 last week, 29-10 overall.
(12-06-2017, 10:22 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: [ -> ]This is kind of a difficult week to pick.  There is so much on the line and so many possibilities.

(12-08-2017, 02:32 AM)KodiakJag Wrote: [ -> ]For me, all of these games are too close to call.  Therefore, coin flips coming up...

I agree completely with these sentiments. This was a very tough week to pick.
Hmmm...some are almost too close to call and i'm sure will boil down to the little things and "Lady Luck" (not andrew)

billies over the tailspinning clots - by 7
horns at home? I'll go with them. by 3
birds are better than they look sometimes and tacks due for a loss. by 3

JAGUARS? They know they better bring their "squealer's game" and give wilson the roth treatment and question if he needs to quit.
If they don't, a close 3 point loss, if they do....7 point win
I'll take the win
25-14 overall

This week:

Bills - At home against a Colts team with nothing to play for.
49ers - I just think Garoppolo gets it done.
cards - just a feeling
hawks - Hate to say it, but at home, late game, cold weather, just think we come out flat again.
Titans roast cards
Jags lose by double digits
Colts and texans lose
(12-08-2017, 08:09 AM)Mowerguy Wrote: [ -> ]Hmmm...some are almost too close to call and i'm sure will boil down to the little things and "Lady Luck" (not andrew)

billies over the tailspinning clots - by 7
horns at home? I'll go with them. by 3
birds at better than they look sometimes and tacks due for a loss. by 3

JAGUARS? They know they better bring their "squealer's game" and give wilson the roth treatment and question if he needs to quit.
If they don't close 3 point loss, if they do....7 point win
I'll take the win
Jags defense has a lot to prove in this game and the fans are going to be fired up. I think if Telvin plays, the defense carries them to victory. I think if he’s out, you got a FG game that can go either way.

Seahawks had an emotional night game and are most likely looking ahead to the Rams next week.
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