10-31-2020, 10:12 PM
The Jaguars under Marrone have converted 49.3 percent (34-of-69) of fourth downs, which ranks 18th since the start of the 2017 season. However, when the Jaguars have gone for it in their opponents’ territory, the percentage is a little higher: 52.3 (23-of-44, not including kneel-downs).
That might not sound like much, but think of it this way: If the Jaguars faced four fourth downs in opponent territory, they statistically could extend two of those drives -- which could potentially end in touchdowns. For a team that’s scoring just 21 points per game on offense (which ranks 26th this season), that could be significant.
Yes, it means you may give the opponent good field position if you fail. And, yes, it also means likely passing up almost a sure three points ([font=Georgia,]Josh Lambo has made 94.9 percent of his field-goal attempts, including 11-of-12 from 50 yards or longer, since he joined the team in 2017). Lambo would probably be pretty unhappy about it, too.[/font]
So what? The Jaguars have won just once and it’s unclear if or how long Gardner Minshew will be out with a right thumb injury. Gamble.
That might not sound like much, but think of it this way: If the Jaguars faced four fourth downs in opponent territory, they statistically could extend two of those drives -- which could potentially end in touchdowns. For a team that’s scoring just 21 points per game on offense (which ranks 26th this season), that could be significant.
Yes, it means you may give the opponent good field position if you fail. And, yes, it also means likely passing up almost a sure three points ([font=Georgia,]Josh Lambo has made 94.9 percent of his field-goal attempts, including 11-of-12 from 50 yards or longer, since he joined the team in 2017). Lambo would probably be pretty unhappy about it, too.[/font]
So what? The Jaguars have won just once and it’s unclear if or how long Gardner Minshew will be out with a right thumb injury. Gamble.