(03-20-2023, 03:08 PM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]I can see an outside chance that, if we don't draft any WRs, and he's still not signed by then, we could possibly re-sign him. But I think that's about a 3.7% chance.
3.7% chance of bringing MJJ back sounds about right. However, approximately 3.6% of that is one of our receivers getting in a major accident or Ridley's getting suspended again.
(03-21-2023, 10:49 AM)HURRICANE!!! Wrote: [ -> ] (03-21-2023, 07:48 AM)Mikey Wrote: [ -> ]I give it 0.91%
Based on the above, I just did some new math over the past 25 minutes and my 3 pages of computation have resulted in an average chance of 2.305% to sign him.
Did I just whoosh the king of whooshes?
(03-22-2023, 10:02 AM)Mikey Wrote: [ -> ] (03-21-2023, 10:49 AM)HURRICANE!!! Wrote: [ -> ]Based on the above, I just did some new math over the past 25 minutes and my 3 pages of computation have resulted in an average chance of 2.305% to sign him.
Did I just whoosh the king of whooshes?
Something, something, check out line at Publix.
(03-22-2023, 11:01 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: [ -> ] (03-22-2023, 10:02 AM)Mikey Wrote: [ -> ]Did I just whoosh the king of whooshes?
Something, something, check out line at Publix.
"What's Your Name, I said What's Your Name?"
Azekial, you better not bring My Publix into this.
"What's Your Name"?
NH3...
(03-21-2023, 07:48 AM)Mikey Wrote: [ -> ] (03-20-2023, 03:08 PM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]I can see an outside chance that, if we don't draft any WRs, and he's still not signed by then, we could possibly re-sign him. But I think that's about a 3.7% chance.
I give it 0.91%
There’s the famous number. It’s been around this board for ages… 191 % correct.
(03-26-2023, 03:30 AM)NH3 Wrote: [ -> ] (03-22-2023, 11:01 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: [ -> ]Something, something, check out line at Publix.
"What's Your Name, I said What's Your Name?"
Azekial, you better not bring My Publix into this.
"What's Your Name"?
NH3...
[JDUB]
My name is mikey, I thought that was obvious.
[/JDUB]
You should never just try to re-make last years team. He had a great run for the Jags last year. That all it is.
Have to find have other guys replace that production.
(03-22-2023, 10:02 AM)Mikey Wrote: [ -> ] (03-21-2023, 10:49 AM)HURRICANE!!! Wrote: [ -> ]Based on the above, I just did some new math over the past 25 minutes and my 3 pages of computation have resulted in an average chance of 2.305% to sign him.
Did I just whoosh the king of whooshes?
I was just playing along to the 2 posts .... The Real Marty had 3.7% and you had 0.91% so I came up with the average of 2.305%
So I ask, does the 0.91% carry on more historical significance that I'm not aware of? I assumed we were all just assigning random percentages as if we had insight and expertise to provide a very precise level of probability.
Mikey Wrote:[url=https://www.duvalpride.com/showthread.php?pid=1538143#pid1538143][/url]
I give it 0.91%