I disagree 100%. I think he has the best arm talent in the draft. He knows how to get just enough air under his passes to hit receivers in stride on his deep passes and his timing on those throws are impeccable. This is something a lot of QB's can't do. They either over-throw receivers, throw the ball short so receivers have to stop, change direction and come back to the ball or they get too much air under it and receivers have to stop running and it turns into a battle with DB's to snatch the ball at it's highest point.

Mayfield, Rosen, Lamar have better arms than him. Velocity wise all of those and Allen have stronger arms than him.

He struggles to drive the ball when he has to,. particularly to the sidelines, which is a tell tale sign of lacking arm strength..there is zero reason to float a quick out and yet Allen does it consistently.  Also while Rudolph has great touch , Washington and Ateman have to adjust a lot to his passes which speaks to questionable placement.

He's not a bad prospect. Just limited upside with his skillset..I wouldn't hate him in the 2nd or 3rd.

https://youtu.be/FpTdLpF3koY

Call me crazy, but I don't see a guy who folds under pressure or shows a lack of arm strength at all. He's hitting receivers in stride on deep, intermediate and short passes.

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Deep touch is one of the lesser important aspects of arm talent. He admitted Rudolph has great touch. I agree that the rest of the arm is just meh.

More than that though I worry about him being, by far, the worst of the top QBs when he is pressured. I don't see many guys that were as bad as Rudolph when pressured fix that problem in the NFL. And my not many I mean I can't think of one, although I'm sure there have been a couple.

Look at this and tell me he is bad when pressured.

https://youtu.be/_K-dTYGSa20

---

Mayfield, Rosen, Lamar have better arms than him. Velocity wise all of those and Allen have stronger arms than him.

He struggles to drive the ball when he has to,. particularly to the sidelines, which is a tell tale sign of lacking arm strength..there is zero reason to float a quick out and yet Allen does it consistently.  Also while Rudolph has great touch , Washington and Ateman have to adjust a lot to his passes which speaks to questionable placement.

He's not a bad prospect. Just limited upside with his skillset..I wouldn't hate him in the 2nd or 3rd.

https://youtu.be/FpTdLpF3koY

Call me crazy, but I don't see a guy who folds under pressure or shows a lack of arm strength at all. He's hitting receivers in stride on deep, intermediate and short passes.

This is essentially a highlight video. I prefer to look at what they do over the course of a full game against different opponents. Lack of arm and feel shows up a lot.

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Highlight videos are fun.

---

https://youtu.be/FpTdLpF3koY

Call me crazy, but I don't see a guy who folds under pressure or shows a lack of arm strength at all. He's hitting receivers in stride on deep, intermediate and short passes.

This is essentially a highlight video. I prefer to look at what they do over the course of a full game against different opponents. Lack of arm and feel shows up a lot.

I really don't understand what you want. I watched almost every one of Rudolph's games last year and I have no clue what you are referring to. You can't have a lack of arm and still be considered one of the best deep ball throwers in the country, like he was. I saw him makes deep throws, intermediate crossing patterns and out passes to the sidelines, as well as screen passes without consistent problems all season. Sure, he'd throw an errant pass every now and again, just like every QB does, (even Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers), but it didn't occur in chunks like we get with Bortles. When I watched Bortles and Mayfield this year, I saw guys who are about as consistent as a QB can possibly get. That's all I want, is consistency.

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Rudolphs arm is one of my issues with him. He has a meh arm and has to float everything to compensate. His quick outs and deep outs are all floaters and that's a recipe for disaster in the NFL. 

Great touch but his arm talent overall isn't great.

I have the same impression about him actually but I haven't watched enough.

What's your take on Lauletta? I definitely have to watch more of him as well but his quick release and ball placement stand out in a very positive way.

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I dont really see how arm is an issue. He doesnt have Aaron Rodgers level arm strength but it seems more than enough to be an NFL QB.

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________________________________________________
Scouting well is all that matters.  Draft philosophy is all fluff.

This is essentially a highlight video. I prefer to look at what they do over the course of a full game against different opponents. Lack of arm and feel shows up a lot.

I really don't understand what you want. I watched almost every one of Rudolph's games last year and I have no clue what you are referring to. You can't have a lack of arm and still be considered one of the best deep ball throwers in the country, like he was. I saw him makes deep throws, intermediate crossing patterns and out passes to the sidelines, as well as screen passes without consistent problems all season. Sure, he'd throw an errant pass every now and again, just like every QB does, (even Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers), but it didn't occur in chunks like we get with Bortles. When I watched Bortles and Mayfield this year, I saw guys who are about as consistent as a QB can possibly get. That's all I want, is consistency.

Well like anything subjective theres going to be differences in opinion. Don't fault you for sticking your viewpoint if that's what you think.  

My personal view is his arm is average at best. Most of the QB gurus I follow for content would seem to have the same opinion. I think Rudolphs size and style of passer leads people astray with his arm. Theres a reason he floats all of his passes and it isn't by choice.

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Rudolphs arm is one of my issues with him. He has a meh arm and has to float everything to compensate. His quick outs and deep outs are all floaters and that's a recipe for disaster in the NFL. 

Great touch but his arm talent overall isn't great.

I have the same impression about him actually but I haven't watched enough.

What's your take on Lauletta? I definitely have to watch more of him as well but his quick release and ball placement stand out in a very positive way.

Lauletta reminds me of Jimmy G a lot. As you said quick release , great ball placement, clean mechanics and has all the intangibles you look for.  
I'm pretty on him being our target in the 2nd if we bring back Blake. He's gonna be good.

---

Give me Hernandez and Hurst in the first two rounds and I don't care what they do the rest of the draft.

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Lauletta reminds me of Jimmy G a lot. As you said quick release , great ball placement, clean mechanics and has all the intangibles you look for.  
I'm pretty on him being our target in the 2nd if we bring back Blake. He's gonna be good.

Thank you, that's what I think as well for what I've seen so far, I'll definitely look for more film on him.
I have to say that even if we bring Cousins/Smith I'd love to bring this guy in (although in that case I'd wait till the 3rd round and see if he's there, although I think he'll get drafted earlier than most mocks project him now). Lauletta seems like a guy NE could be interested in now that they lost Garoppolo.

---

Washington does not tag Kirk Cousins allowing him to be an UFA
Buffalo cuts Tyrod Taylor
Denver signs Kirk Cousins
Drew Brees re-signs with New Orleans
Tampa Bay signs Case Keenum
Minnesota re-signs Teddy Bridgewater
Minnesota signs Tyrod Taylor
Arizona sends a 3rd round pick to the New York Giants for QB Eli Manning
Buffalo Bills send a 1st round 2nd and 3rd round (#55 and #94 overall picks) to Kansas City for QB Alex Smith and the Chiefs 2nd round pick (#54 overall) and 3rd round pick (#86 overall.)

** denotes underclassman 

Round 1

1. Cleveland- Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State**
2. New York Giants- Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA**
3. Indianapolis- Bradley Chubb, DE, N.C. State
4. Cleveland (Via Houston)- Sam Darnold, QB, USC**
5. Denver- Minkah Fitzpatrick, S/CB, Alabama**
6. New York Jets- Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
7. Tampa Bay- Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA
8. Chicago- Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama**
9. San Francisco- Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame**
10. Oakland- Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia**
11. Miami- Derwin James, S, Florida State**
12. Cincinnati- Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
13. Washington- Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming**
14. Green Bay- Joshua Jackson, CB, Iowa**
15. Arizona- Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State**
16. Baltimore- Harold Landry, OLB, Boston College
17. L.A. Chargers- Orlando Brown, OT, Oklahoma**
18. Seattle- Connor Williams, OT, Texas**
19. Dallas- Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU**
20. Detroit- Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech**
21. Buffalo- Da’Ron Payne, DT, Alabama**
22. Kansas City (Via Buffalo Via Kansas City)- Vita Vea, DT, Washington
23. L.A. Rams- Carlton Davis, CB, Auburn**
24. Carolina- James Washington, WR, Oklahoma State
25. Tennessee- Arden Key, DE/OLB, LSU**
26. Atlanta- Billy Price, OG/C, Ohio State
27. New Orleans- Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
28. Pittsburgh- Ronnie Harrison, S, Alabama**
29. Jacksonville- Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State
30. Minnesota- Maurice Hurst, DT, Michigan
31. Philadelphia- Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA**
32. New England- Rasheem Green, DE, USC**


Round 2

33. Cleveland- Harrison Phillips, DT, Stanford**
34. New York Giants- Tyrell Crosby, OT, Oregon
35. Cleveland (Via Houston)- Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado**
36. Indianapolis- Sony Michel, RB, Georgia
37. New York Jets- Mason Cole, OT/OG/C, Michigan
38. Tampa Bay- Mike Hughes, CB, UCF**
39. Chicago- Mark Andrews, TE, Oklahoma**
40. Denver- Derrius Guice, RB, LSU**
41. Oakland- Brian O’Neill, OT, Pitt**
42. Miami- Will Hernandez, OG, UTEP
43. New England (Via San Francisco)- Malik Jefferson, LB, Texas**
44. Washington- Anthony Miller, WR, Memphis
45. Green Bay- Justin Reid, S, Stanford**
46. Cincinnati- Frank Ragnow, C/OG, Arkansas
47. Arizona- Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville**
48. L.A. Chargers- Armani Watts, S, Texas A&M
49. New York Jets (Via Seattle)- Tavarus McFadden, CB, Florida State**
50. Dallas- Dallas Goedert, TE, South Dakota State
51. Detroit- Duke Ejiofor, DE, Wake Forest
52. Baltimore- Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M**
53. Buffalo- Jerome Baker, LB, Ohio State**
54. Buffalo (Via Kansas City)- Sam Hubbard, DE, Ohio State**
55. Kansas City (Via Buffalo Via L.A. Rams)- Marcus Allen, S, Penn State
56. Carolina- Isaiah Wynn, OG/OT, Georgia
57. Tennessee- Tavon Bryan, DE, Florida**
58. Atlanta- DeShon Elliott, S, Texas**  
59. San Francisco (Via New Orleans)- Auden Tate, WR, Florida State**
60. Pittsburgh- Hercules Mata’afa, OLB, Washington State**
61. Jacksonville- Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina**
62. Minnesota- Uchenna Nwosu, LB, USC
63. Cleveland (Via Philadelphia)- Jordan Lasley, WR, UCLA**
64. New England- Braden Smith, OG/OT, Auburn


Round 3

65. Cleveland- Josh Sweat, DE, Florida State**
66. New York Giants- Marcell Frazier, DE, Missouri
67. Indianapolis- Jamarco Jones, OT, Ohio State
68. Houston- Chukwuma Okorofar, OT, Western Michigan
69. Tampa Bay- Ronald Jones II, RB, USC**
70. San Francisco (Via Chicago)- Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville**
71. Denver- Martinas Rankin, OT, Mississippi State
72. New York Jets- Rashaad Penny, RB, SDSU
73. Miami- Mike Gesicki, TE, Penn State
74. San Francisco- Shaquem Griffin, LEO/OLB, UCF
75. Oakland- Donte Jackson, CB, LSU**
76. Green Bay- Dorance Armstrong, OLB, Kansas**
77. Cincinnati- Derrick Nnadi, DT, Florida State
78. Washington- Josey Jewell, ILB, Iowa
79. New York Giants (Via Arizona)- Nick Chubb, RB, Georgia
80. Houston (Via Seattle)- Nick Nelson, CB, Wisconsin**
81. Dallas- Duke Dawson, CB, Florida
82. Detroit- Mark Walton, RB, Miami (Fla.)**
83. Baltimore- Troy Fumagalli, TE, Wisconsin
84. L.A. Chargers- Mike White, QB, Western Kentucky
85. Carolina (Via Buffalo)- Quenton Meeks, CB, Stanford**
86. Buffalo (Via Kansas City)- Equanimeous St. Brown, WR, Notre Dame**
87. L.A. Rams- Will Clapp, C/OG, LSU**
88. Carolina- Trenton Thompson, DT, Georgia**
89. Tennessee- Lowell Lotulelei, DT, Utah
90. Atlanta- Deadrin Senat, DT, South Florida
91. New Orleans- Holton Hill, CB, Texas**  
92. Pittsburgh- B.J. Hill, DT, North Carolina State
93. Jacksonville- Austin Corbett, OG/OT, Nevada
94. Minnesota- Simmie Cobbs Jr., WR, Indiana**
95. Kansas City (Via Buffalo Via Philadelphia)- Anthony Avertt, CB, Alabama
96. New England- Brandon Facyson, CB, Virginia Tech


Round 4

97. Cleveland- Quin Blanding, S, Virginia
98. New York Giants- James Daniels, C, Iowa**
99. Houston- Sean Welsh, OG/C, Iowa
100. Indianapolis- Jeff Holland, OLB, Auburn**
101. Chicago- Kevin Toliver, CB, LSU**
102. Denver- Leighton Vander Esch, ILB, Boise State**
103. New York Jets- Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, OLB, Oklahoma
104. Tampa Bay- Jordan Whitehead, S, Pittsburgh**
105. Denver (Via San Francisco)- Tyrone Crowder, OG, Clemson
107. Oakland- Kerryon Johnson, RB, Auburn**
108. Miami- R.J. McIntosh, DT, Miami**
109. Cincinnati- Darius Leonard, LB, South Carolina State
110. Washington- Will Richardson, OT, North Carolina State**
111. Green Bay- Wyatt Teller, OG, Virginia Tech
112. Chicago (Via Arizona)- Da’Shawn Hand, DE, Alabama
113. Dallas- Tim Settle Jr., DT, Virginia Tech**
114. Detroit- Bradley Bozeman, C/OG, Alabama
115. Baltimore- D.J. Chark, WR, LSU
116. L.A. Chargers- Folorunso Fatukasi, DT, UConn.
117. Seattle- Royce Freeman, RB, Oregon
118. Buffalo- Darius Phillips, CB, Western Michigan
119. Kansas City- Mike McCray, ILB, Michigan
120. L.A. Rams- Lorenzo Carter, LB, Georgia
121. Cleveland (Via Carolina)- Jaylen Samuels, FB/TE, North Carolina State
122. Tennessee- K.J. Malone, OG, LSU
123. Atlanta- D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland**
124. New Orleans- Ian Thomas, TE, Indiana
125. San Francisco (Via Pittsburgh)- Desmond Harrison, OT, West Georgia  
126. Jacksonville- Micah Kiser, LB, Virginia
127. Philadelphia (Via Minnesota)- Deontay Burnett, WR, USC**
128. Miami (Via Philadelphia)- Kyle Lauletta, QB, Richmond
129. Philadelphia (Via New England)- Christian Sam, LB, Arizona State**

Round 5

129. Cleveland- Brandon Parker, OT, North Carolina A&T  
130. New York Giants- J.C. Jackson, CB, Maryland**
131. Indianapolis- Sam Jones, OG, ASU**
132. Seattle (Via Houston)- Christopher Herndon IV, TE, Miami (Fla.)
133. Denver- Poona Ford, DT, Texas
134. San Francisco (Via New York Jets)- Dorian O’ Daniel, LB, Clemson
135. Tampa Bay- Nathan Shepherd, DT, Fort Hays State
136. Chicago- Marquis Haynes, OLB, Mississippi
137. Seattle (Via Oakland)- Kyzir White, S, West Virginia
138. New Orleans (Via Miami)- Michael Gallup, WR, Colorado State
139. Pittsburgh (Via San Francisco)- Shaun Dion Hamilton, ILB, Alabama
140. Washington- Jessie Bates lll, S, Wake Forest**
141. Green Bay- Andrew Brown, DE/DT, Virginia  
142. Cincinnati- Deon Cain, WR, Clemson**
143. Arizona- Allen Lazard, WR, Iowa State
144. Detroit- Adam Breneman, TE, UMass.
145. Baltimore- Coleman Shelton, C/OG, Washington
146. L.A. Chargers- Tegray Scales, LB, Indiana
147. Philadelphia (Via Seattle)- Cody O’Connell, OG, Washington State
148. New York Jets (Via Dallas)- Tony Adams, OG, N.C. State
149. Buffalo- Josh Adams, RB, Notre Dame**
150. Cleveland (Via Kansas City)- Jalen Davis, CB, Utah State
151. L.A. Rams- Tre’Quan Smith, WR, UCF
152. Carolina- Justin Lawler, DE, SMU  
153. Tennessee- Christian Campbell, CB, Penn State
154. Denver (Via Atlanta)- Keke Coutee, WR, Texas Tech**
155. New Orleans- Chase Litton, QB, Marshall**
156. Pittsburgh- J’Mon Moore, WR, Missouri
157. Buffalo (Via Jacksonville)- Scott Quessenberry, C/OG, UCLA
158. Minnesota- Jeremy Reaves, S, South Alabama
159. Philadelphia- Tyquan Lewis, DE, Ohio State
160. New England- Kurt Benkert, QB, Virginia


Round 6   

161. Cleveland- Skai Moore, LB, South Carolina
162. New York Giants- Maea Teuhema, OG, Southeast Louisiana**
163. Houston- Ja’Von Rolland-Jones, OLB, Arkansas State
164. Indianapolis- Kameron Kelly, CB, San Diego State
165. New York Jets- Chad Thomas, DE, Miami
166. Tampa Bay- Antonio Callaway, WR, Florida**
167. Chicago- K.C. McDermott, OG/OT, Miami (Fla)
168. Denver- Jordan Atkins, TE, UCF**
169. Miami- Toby Weathersby, OT, LSU**  
170. San Francisco- Marcell Harris, S, Florida**
171. Oakland- Dante Pettis, WR/KR, Washington
172. Green Bay- Daurice Fountain, WR, Northern Iowa  
173. Cincinnati- Luke Falk, QB, Washington State
174. Washington- Nyheim Hines, RB, North Carolina State**
175. New Orleans (Via Arizona)- Joe Ostman, DE, Central Michigan
176. Baltimore- Breeleand Speaks, DE, Mississippi**
177. L.A. Chargers- Marcell Ateman, WR, Oklahoma State
178. Oakland (Via Seattle)- Mat Boesen, DE, TCU
179. Dallas- James Hearns, DE, Louisville
180. L.A. Rams (Via Detroit)- Cole Madison, OT, Washington State
181. L.A. Rams (Via Buffalo)- Dalton Schultz, TE, Stanford**
182. Kansas City- Garrett Dooley, OLB, Wisconsin
183. L.A. Rams- P.J. Hall, DT, Sam Houston State
184. Carolina- Damon Webb, S, Ohio State
185. Tennessee- Godwin Igwebuike, S, Northwestern
186. Atlanta- JoJo Wicker, DE, Arizona State**
187. New Orleans- Secdrick Cooper, S, La. Tech
188. Tampa Bay (Via Pittsburgh)- Joseph Noteboom, OT, TCU
189. Jacksonville- Javon Wims, WR, Georgia
190. Minnesota- Jeromy Irwin, OT, Colorado
191. Philadelphia- D’Montre Wade, CB, Murray State
192. New England- Timon Parris, OT, Stony Brook


Round 7

193. Cleveland- Zach Crabtree, OT, Oklahoma State
194. Pittsburgh (Via New York Giants)- Geron Christian, OT, Louisville**
195. Indianapolis- Josh Fatu, DT, USC
196. Houston- Tyler Conklin, TE, Central Michigan
197. Miami (Via Tampa Bay)- Frank Ginda, LB, San Jose State**
198. Chicago- Cedrick Wilson, WR, Boise State  
199. Denver- M.J. Stewart, CB, North Carolina
200. Seattle (Via New York Jets)- Bilal Nichols, DT, Delaware
201. San Francisco- Justin Crawford, RB, West Virginia**
202. Oakland- Isaac Yiadom, S, Boston College
203. Miami- DaeSean Hamilton, WR, Penn State
204. Jacksonville (Via Cincinnati)- David Bright, OG/OT, Stanford  
205. Washington- Taylor Hearn, OG, Clemson**
206. Green Bay- Jack Cichy, ILB, Wisconsin
207. Arizona- Fred Warner, LB, BYU
208. Buffalo (Via L.A. Chargers)- Ike Boettger, OT, Iowa
209. New York Jets (Via Seattle)- Jaleel Scott, WR, New Mexico State
210. Green Bay (Via Dallas)- Riley Ferguson, QB, Memphis
211. Detroit- Bruce Hector, DT, South Florida
212. Arizona (Via Baltimore)- Jamil Demby, OT, Maine
213. Green Bay (Via Buffalo)- Na’Ty Rodgers, OT, Houston
214. San Francisco (Via Kansas City)- Davin Bellamy, LB, Georgia
215. Washington (Via L.A. Rams)- Greg Gilmore, DT, LSU
216. Carolina- Durham Smythe, TE, Notre Dame
217. Kansas City (Via Tennessee)- Kyle Bosch, OG, West Virginia
218. Atlanta- Danny Johnson, CB, Southern
219. New Orleans- Justin Jones, DT, N.C. State
220. Pittsburgh- Kamryn Pettway, RB, Auburn**
221. Jacksonville- Terrell Edmunds, S, Virginia Tech**
222. Seattle (Via Minnesota)- Brian Allen, C/OG, Michigan State
223. Philadelphia- Kendrick Norton, DT, Miami**
224. Cincinnati (Via New England)- Brendan Mahon, OG, Penn State








Jaguars picks: 

1. Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State: In my opinion, the best QB in this class. He's big, he moves well. He has tremendous accuracy and touch. He reads defenses well and spreads the ball out to multiple receivers. He will need to work on taking the ball directly from Center, but that is something most QB's in this class will have to learn. He should give Bortles real competition by midway through the season. 

2. Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina: A big TE who is one of the better blockers in this class, but he also has very good hands and the ability to get deep. He will give the Jags an added dimension to the offense that they haven't had in a long time. 

3. Austin Corbett, OG/OT, Nevada: Corbett is one of the most highly ranked interior blockers in the draft. He played LT at Nevada, but plays much better inside. During the Senior Bowl week, he struggled some when on the edge, but once kicked inside, he drew praise from coaches and analyst. He looks like a natural OG, displaying very good run blocking as well as pass protection skills. He did not allow a sack in 2017, despite the Wolfpack attempting a league high in pass attempts. Has 36 straight starts. I believe he could settle right in at LG.

4. Micah Kiser, LB, Virginia: Kiser is a highly productive linebacker. He led the ACC in tackles 3 straight years and racked up 145 this past season. He shows the versatility to play inside or outside as he also displays nice pass rush skills, accumulating 5 sacks this season and is pretty good in coverage as well with 4 pass breakups. He could take over for Poz, and allow us to disguise some schemes by rotating him and Myles Jack at MLB and SSLB.

6. Javon Wims, WR, Georgia: A 6'4" big, rangey WR who was pretty much the Bulldogs only receiving threat this past season. He averaged 16 yards a reception in 2017 and 720 yards receiving despite being on a predominately run first team with a freshman starting QB. He is a good route runner, with very good hands and excellent body control. Had he not gotten injured late in the NCAA Championship game, the outcome could've been different. He has fully recovered now and is preparing for the draft. I believe he could give the Jags a legit redzone threat for the Jags, along with a new TE. 

7. David Bright, OG/OT, Stanford: A versatile O-Lineman who played every position on the offensive line except Center. He's a very good run blocker and a solid pass protector as well. Gathered All Pac-12 honors this past season and although he can OT, he is much better suited to kick inside to OG, where he looks like a natural. He did not allow a sack in 2017 and was named All Pac-12 second team. I believe he could beat out A.J. Cann for the starting RG job. 

7. Terrell Edmunds, S, Virginia Tech: Big Free Safety prospect with range, athleticism and instincts. He is the brother of probable first round linebacker Tremaine Edmunds. He played 10 games this past season with 59 tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks and 2 interceptions. He also had 4 pass breakups and 6 passes defended. He may go a little higher than this, but if he's there, I think he'd be a solid selection to push Gipson at the Free Safety spot. If nothing else, he gives us solid depth where it's needed.

First and foremost, excellent work.

I thank you for your efforts in compiling this.  I may or may not agree with a particular pick or a rationale behind the pick, but the work you put into this at this somewhat early stage is commendable.  Kudos.

My immediate question to you would be why would Tampa sign Keenum?

Why would Minnesota re-sign Bridgewater and then sign Taylor?  Does this scenario presume they re-sign Sam Bradford as well?

I think in your scenario, Buffalo vastly overpays for Smith, especially considering back in 2013, the 49ers only got a 2 for Smith.   Smith will be 34 on May 7.  

I really like the Seattle selection of Connor Williams.  Even though they traded for Texans LT Duane Brown, Brown is in his 30s, and Seattle needs help all across the line.  Short term, that selection solidifies the OL and makes it much less of a weakness. 

As far as the Jaguars go, I like the idea of bolstering the passing game for the future, and it sets up well in those first three picks.  I would wonder about the Corbett pick and his run blocking (I was especially hurt-though not surprised-to see Hernandez taken off the board by the Miami pick), but he seems like a Coughlin type OL pick with his ability to swing outside in a pinch.

---

 

Worst to 1st.  Curse Reversed!

There is a zero % chance the Bucs sign Keenum.

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Washington does not tag Kirk Cousins allowing him to be an UFA
Buffalo cuts Tyrod Taylor
Denver signs Kirk Cousins
Drew Brees re-signs with New Orleans
Tampa Bay signs Case Keenum
Minnesota re-signs Teddy Bridgewater
Minnesota signs Tyrod Taylor
Arizona sends a 3rd round pick to the New York Giants for QB Eli Manning
Buffalo Bills send a 1st round 2nd and 3rd round (#55 and #94 overall picks) to Kansas City for QB Alex Smith and the Chiefs 2nd round pick (#54 overall) and 3rd round pick (#86 overall.)

** denotes underclassman 

Round 1

1. Cleveland- Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State**
2. New York Giants- Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA**
3. Indianapolis- Bradley Chubb, DE, N.C. State
4. Cleveland (Via Houston)- Sam Darnold, QB, USC**
5. Denver- Minkah Fitzpatrick, S/CB, Alabama**
6. New York Jets- Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
7. Tampa Bay- Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA
8. Chicago- Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama**
9. San Francisco- Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame**
10. Oakland- Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia**
11. Miami- Derwin James, S, Florida State**
12. Cincinnati- Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
13. Washington- Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming**
14. Green Bay- Joshua Jackson, CB, Iowa**
15. Arizona- Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State**
16. Baltimore- Harold Landry, OLB, Boston College
17. L.A. Chargers- Orlando Brown, OT, Oklahoma**
18. Seattle- Connor Williams, OT, Texas**
19. Dallas- Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU**
20. Detroit- Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech**
21. Buffalo- Da’Ron Payne, DT, Alabama**
22. Kansas City (Via Buffalo Via Kansas City)- Vita Vea, DT, Washington
23. L.A. Rams- Carlton Davis, CB, Auburn**
24. Carolina- James Washington, WR, Oklahoma State
25. Tennessee- Arden Key, DE/OLB, LSU**
26. Atlanta- Billy Price, OG/C, Ohio State
27. New Orleans- Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
28. Pittsburgh- Ronnie Harrison, S, Alabama**
29. Jacksonville- Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State
30. Minnesota- Maurice Hurst, DT, Michigan
31. Philadelphia- Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA**
32. New England- Rasheem Green, DE, USC**


Round 2

33. Cleveland- Harrison Phillips, DT, Stanford**
34. New York Giants- Tyrell Crosby, OT, Oregon
35. Cleveland (Via Houston)- Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado**
36. Indianapolis- Sony Michel, RB, Georgia
37. New York Jets- Mason Cole, OT/OG/C, Michigan
38. Tampa Bay- Mike Hughes, CB, UCF**
39. Chicago- Mark Andrews, TE, Oklahoma**
40. Denver- Derrius Guice, RB, LSU**
41. Oakland- Brian O’Neill, OT, Pitt**
42. Miami- Will Hernandez, OG, UTEP
43. New England (Via San Francisco)- Malik Jefferson, LB, Texas**
44. Washington- Anthony Miller, WR, Memphis
45. Green Bay- Justin Reid, S, Stanford**
46. Cincinnati- Frank Ragnow, C/OG, Arkansas
47. Arizona- Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville**
48. L.A. Chargers- Armani Watts, S, Texas A&M
49. New York Jets (Via Seattle)- Tavarus McFadden, CB, Florida State**
50. Dallas- Dallas Goedert, TE, South Dakota State
51. Detroit- Duke Ejiofor, DE, Wake Forest
52. Baltimore- Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M**
53. Buffalo- Jerome Baker, LB, Ohio State**
54. Buffalo (Via Kansas City)- Sam Hubbard, DE, Ohio State**
55. Kansas City (Via Buffalo Via L.A. Rams)- Marcus Allen, S, Penn State
56. Carolina- Isaiah Wynn, OG/OT, Georgia
57. Tennessee- Tavon Bryan, DE, Florida**
58. Atlanta- DeShon Elliott, S, Texas**  
59. San Francisco (Via New Orleans)- Auden Tate, WR, Florida State**
60. Pittsburgh- Hercules Mata’afa, OLB, Washington State**
61. Jacksonville- Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina**
62. Minnesota- Uchenna Nwosu, LB, USC
63. Cleveland (Via Philadelphia)- Jordan Lasley, WR, UCLA**
64. New England- Braden Smith, OG/OT, Auburn


Round 3

65. Cleveland- Josh Sweat, DE, Florida State**
66. New York Giants- Marcell Frazier, DE, Missouri
67. Indianapolis- Jamarco Jones, OT, Ohio State
68. Houston- Chukwuma Okorofar, OT, Western Michigan
69. Tampa Bay- Ronald Jones II, RB, USC**
70. San Francisco (Via Chicago)- Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville**
71. Denver- Martinas Rankin, OT, Mississippi State
72. New York Jets- Rashaad Penny, RB, SDSU
73. Miami- Mike Gesicki, TE, Penn State
74. San Francisco- Shaquem Griffin, LEO/OLB, UCF
75. Oakland- Donte Jackson, CB, LSU**
76. Green Bay- Dorance Armstrong, OLB, Kansas**
77. Cincinnati- Derrick Nnadi, DT, Florida State
78. Washington- Josey Jewell, ILB, Iowa
79. New York Giants (Via Arizona)- Nick Chubb, RB, Georgia
80. Houston (Via Seattle)- Nick Nelson, CB, Wisconsin**
81. Dallas- Duke Dawson, CB, Florida
82. Detroit- Mark Walton, RB, Miami (Fla.)**
83. Baltimore- Troy Fumagalli, TE, Wisconsin
84. L.A. Chargers- Mike White, QB, Western Kentucky
85. Carolina (Via Buffalo)- Quenton Meeks, CB, Stanford**
86. Buffalo (Via Kansas City)- Equanimeous St. Brown, WR, Notre Dame**
87. L.A. Rams- Will Clapp, C/OG, LSU**
88. Carolina- Trenton Thompson, DT, Georgia**
89. Tennessee- Lowell Lotulelei, DT, Utah
90. Atlanta- Deadrin Senat, DT, South Florida
91. New Orleans- Holton Hill, CB, Texas**  
92. Pittsburgh- B.J. Hill, DT, North Carolina State
93. Jacksonville- Austin Corbett, OG/OT, Nevada
94. Minnesota- Simmie Cobbs Jr., WR, Indiana**
95. Kansas City (Via Buffalo Via Philadelphia)- Anthony Avertt, CB, Alabama
96. New England- Brandon Facyson, CB, Virginia Tech


Round 4

97. Cleveland- Quin Blanding, S, Virginia
98. New York Giants- James Daniels, C, Iowa**
99. Houston- Sean Welsh, OG/C, Iowa
100. Indianapolis- Jeff Holland, OLB, Auburn**
101. Chicago- Kevin Toliver, CB, LSU**
102. Denver- Leighton Vander Esch, ILB, Boise State**
103. New York Jets- Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, OLB, Oklahoma
104. Tampa Bay- Jordan Whitehead, S, Pittsburgh**
105. Denver (Via San Francisco)- Tyrone Crowder, OG, Clemson
107. Oakland- Kerryon Johnson, RB, Auburn**
108. Miami- R.J. McIntosh, DT, Miami**
109. Cincinnati- Darius Leonard, LB, South Carolina State
110. Washington- Will Richardson, OT, North Carolina State**
111. Green Bay- Wyatt Teller, OG, Virginia Tech
112. Chicago (Via Arizona)- Da’Shawn Hand, DE, Alabama
113. Dallas- Tim Settle Jr., DT, Virginia Tech**
114. Detroit- Bradley Bozeman, C/OG, Alabama
115. Baltimore- D.J. Chark, WR, LSU
116. L.A. Chargers- Folorunso Fatukasi, DT, UConn.
117. Seattle- Royce Freeman, RB, Oregon
118. Buffalo- Darius Phillips, CB, Western Michigan
119. Kansas City- Mike McCray, ILB, Michigan
120. L.A. Rams- Lorenzo Carter, LB, Georgia
121. Cleveland (Via Carolina)- Jaylen Samuels, FB/TE, North Carolina State
122. Tennessee- K.J. Malone, OG, LSU
123. Atlanta- D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland**
124. New Orleans- Ian Thomas, TE, Indiana
125. San Francisco (Via Pittsburgh)- Desmond Harrison, OT, West Georgia  
126. Jacksonville- Micah Kiser, LB, Virginia
127. Philadelphia (Via Minnesota)- Deontay Burnett, WR, USC**
128. Miami (Via Philadelphia)- Kyle Lauletta, QB, Richmond
129. Philadelphia (Via New England)- Christian Sam, LB, Arizona State**

Round 5

129. Cleveland- Brandon Parker, OT, North Carolina A&T  
130. New York Giants- J.C. Jackson, CB, Maryland**
131. Indianapolis- Sam Jones, OG, ASU**
132. Seattle (Via Houston)- Christopher Herndon IV, TE, Miami (Fla.)
133. Denver- Poona Ford, DT, Texas
134. San Francisco (Via New York Jets)- Dorian O’ Daniel, LB, Clemson
135. Tampa Bay- Nathan Shepherd, DT, Fort Hays State
136. Chicago- Marquis Haynes, OLB, Mississippi
137. Seattle (Via Oakland)- Kyzir White, S, West Virginia
138. New Orleans (Via Miami)- Michael Gallup, WR, Colorado State
139. Pittsburgh (Via San Francisco)- Shaun Dion Hamilton, ILB, Alabama
140. Washington- Jessie Bates lll, S, Wake Forest**
141. Green Bay- Andrew Brown, DE/DT, Virginia  
142. Cincinnati- Deon Cain, WR, Clemson**
143. Arizona- Allen Lazard, WR, Iowa State
144. Detroit- Adam Breneman, TE, UMass.
145. Baltimore- Coleman Shelton, C/OG, Washington
146. L.A. Chargers- Tegray Scales, LB, Indiana
147. Philadelphia (Via Seattle)- Cody O’Connell, OG, Washington State
148. New York Jets (Via Dallas)- Tony Adams, OG, N.C. State
149. Buffalo- Josh Adams, RB, Notre Dame**
150. Cleveland (Via Kansas City)- Jalen Davis, CB, Utah State
151. L.A. Rams- Tre’Quan Smith, WR, UCF
152. Carolina- Justin Lawler, DE, SMU  
153. Tennessee- Christian Campbell, CB, Penn State
154. Denver (Via Atlanta)- Keke Coutee, WR, Texas Tech**
155. New Orleans- Chase Litton, QB, Marshall**
156. Pittsburgh- J’Mon Moore, WR, Missouri
157. Buffalo (Via Jacksonville)- Scott Quessenberry, C/OG, UCLA
158. Minnesota- Jeremy Reaves, S, South Alabama
159. Philadelphia- Tyquan Lewis, DE, Ohio State
160. New England- Kurt Benkert, QB, Virginia


Round 6   

161. Cleveland- Skai Moore, LB, South Carolina
162. New York Giants- Maea Teuhema, OG, Southeast Louisiana**
163. Houston- Ja’Von Rolland-Jones, OLB, Arkansas State
164. Indianapolis- Kameron Kelly, CB, San Diego State
165. New York Jets- Chad Thomas, DE, Miami
166. Tampa Bay- Antonio Callaway, WR, Florida**
167. Chicago- K.C. McDermott, OG/OT, Miami (Fla)
168. Denver- Jordan Atkins, TE, UCF**
169. Miami- Toby Weathersby, OT, LSU**  
170. San Francisco- Marcell Harris, S, Florida**
171. Oakland- Dante Pettis, WR/KR, Washington
172. Green Bay- Daurice Fountain, WR, Northern Iowa  
173. Cincinnati- Luke Falk, QB, Washington State
174. Washington- Nyheim Hines, RB, North Carolina State**
175. New Orleans (Via Arizona)- Joe Ostman, DE, Central Michigan
176. Baltimore- Breeleand Speaks, DE, Mississippi**
177. L.A. Chargers- Marcell Ateman, WR, Oklahoma State
178. Oakland (Via Seattle)- Mat Boesen, DE, TCU
179. Dallas- James Hearns, DE, Louisville
180. L.A. Rams (Via Detroit)- Cole Madison, OT, Washington State
181. L.A. Rams (Via Buffalo)- Dalton Schultz, TE, Stanford**
182. Kansas City- Garrett Dooley, OLB, Wisconsin
183. L.A. Rams- P.J. Hall, DT, Sam Houston State
184. Carolina- Damon Webb, S, Ohio State
185. Tennessee- Godwin Igwebuike, S, Northwestern
186. Atlanta- JoJo Wicker, DE, Arizona State**
187. New Orleans- Secdrick Cooper, S, La. Tech
188. Tampa Bay (Via Pittsburgh)- Joseph Noteboom, OT, TCU
189. Jacksonville- Javon Wims, WR, Georgia
190. Minnesota- Jeromy Irwin, OT, Colorado
191. Philadelphia- D’Montre Wade, CB, Murray State
192. New England- Timon Parris, OT, Stony Brook


Round 7

193. Cleveland- Zach Crabtree, OT, Oklahoma State
194. Pittsburgh (Via New York Giants)- Geron Christian, OT, Louisville**
195. Indianapolis- Josh Fatu, DT, USC
196. Houston- Tyler Conklin, TE, Central Michigan
197. Miami (Via Tampa Bay)- Frank Ginda, LB, San Jose State**
198. Chicago- Cedrick Wilson, WR, Boise State  
199. Denver- M.J. Stewart, CB, North Carolina
200. Seattle (Via New York Jets)- Bilal Nichols, DT, Delaware
201. San Francisco- Justin Crawford, RB, West Virginia**
202. Oakland- Isaac Yiadom, S, Boston College
203. Miami- DaeSean Hamilton, WR, Penn State
204. Jacksonville (Via Cincinnati)- David Bright, OG/OT, Stanford  
205. Washington- Taylor Hearn, OG, Clemson**
206. Green Bay- Jack Cichy, ILB, Wisconsin
207. Arizona- Fred Warner, LB, BYU
208. Buffalo (Via L.A. Chargers)- Ike Boettger, OT, Iowa
209. New York Jets (Via Seattle)- Jaleel Scott, WR, New Mexico State
210. Green Bay (Via Dallas)- Riley Ferguson, QB, Memphis
211. Detroit- Bruce Hector, DT, South Florida
212. Arizona (Via Baltimore)- Jamil Demby, OT, Maine
213. Green Bay (Via Buffalo)- Na’Ty Rodgers, OT, Houston
214. San Francisco (Via Kansas City)- Davin Bellamy, LB, Georgia
215. Washington (Via L.A. Rams)- Greg Gilmore, DT, LSU
216. Carolina- Durham Smythe, TE, Notre Dame
217. Kansas City (Via Tennessee)- Kyle Bosch, OG, West Virginia
218. Atlanta- Danny Johnson, CB, Southern
219. New Orleans- Justin Jones, DT, N.C. State
220. Pittsburgh- Kamryn Pettway, RB, Auburn**
221. Jacksonville- Terrell Edmunds, S, Virginia Tech**
222. Seattle (Via Minnesota)- Brian Allen, C/OG, Michigan State
223. Philadelphia- Kendrick Norton, DT, Miami**
224. Cincinnati (Via New England)- Brendan Mahon, OG, Penn State








Jaguars picks: 

1. Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State: In my opinion, the best QB in this class. He's big, he moves well. He has tremendous accuracy and touch. He reads defenses well and spreads the ball out to multiple receivers. He will need to work on taking the ball directly from Center, but that is something most QB's in this class will have to learn. He should give Bortles real competition by midway through the season. 

2. Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina: A big TE who is one of the better blockers in this class, but he also has very good hands and the ability to get deep. He will give the Jags an added dimension to the offense that they haven't had in a long time. 

3. Austin Corbett, OG/OT, Nevada: Corbett is one of the most highly ranked interior blockers in the draft. He played LT at Nevada, but plays much better inside. During the Senior Bowl week, he struggled some when on the edge, but once kicked inside, he drew praise from coaches and analyst. He looks like a natural OG, displaying very good run blocking as well as pass protection skills. He did not allow a sack in 2017, despite the Wolfpack attempting a league high in pass attempts. Has 36 straight starts. I believe he could settle right in at LG.

4. Micah Kiser, LB, Virginia: Kiser is a highly productive linebacker. He led the ACC in tackles 3 straight years and racked up 145 this past season. He shows the versatility to play inside or outside as he also displays nice pass rush skills, accumulating 5 sacks this season and is pretty good in coverage as well with 4 pass breakups. He could take over for Poz, and allow us to disguise some schemes by rotating him and Myles Jack at MLB and SSLB.

6. Javon Wims, WR, Georgia: A 6'4" big, rangey WR who was pretty much the Bulldogs only receiving threat this past season. He averaged 16 yards a reception in 2017 and 720 yards receiving despite being on a predominately run first team with a freshman starting QB. He is a good route runner, with very good hands and excellent body control. Had he not gotten injured late in the NCAA Championship game, the outcome could've been different. He has fully recovered now and is preparing for the draft. I believe he could give the Jags a legit redzone threat for the Jags, along with a new TE. 

7. David Bright, OG/OT, Stanford: A versatile O-Lineman who played every position on the offensive line except Center. He's a very good run blocker and a solid pass protector as well. Gathered All Pac-12 honors this past season and although he can OT, he is much better suited to kick inside to OG, where he looks like a natural. He did not allow a sack in 2017 and was named All Pac-12 second team. I believe he could beat out A.J. Cann for the starting RG job. 

7. Terrell Edmunds, S, Virginia Tech: Big Free Safety prospect with range, athleticism and instincts. He is the brother of probable first round linebacker Tremaine Edmunds. He played 10 games this past season with 59 tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks and 2 interceptions. He also had 4 pass breakups and 6 passes defended. He may go a little higher than this, but if he's there, I think he'd be a solid selection to push Gipson at the Free Safety spot. If nothing else, he gives us solid depth where it's needed.

First and foremost, excellent work.

I thank you for your efforts in compiling this.  I may or may not agree with a particular pick or a rationale behind the pick, but the work you put into this at this somewhat early stage is commendable.  Kudos.

My immediate question to you would be why would Tampa sign Keenum?

Why would Minnesota re-sign Bridgewater and then sign Taylor?  Does this scenario presume they re-sign Sam Bradford as well?

I think in your scenario, Buffalo vastly overpays for Smith, especially considering back in 2013, the 49ers only got a 2 for Smith.   Smith will be 34 on May 7.  

I really like the Seattle selection of Connor Williams.  Even though they traded for Texans LT Duane Brown, Brown is in his 30s, and Seattle needs help all across the line.  Short term, that selection solidifies the OL and makes it much less of a weakness. 

As far as the Jaguars go, I like the idea of bolstering the passing game for the future, and it sets up well in those first three picks.  I would wonder about the Corbett pick and his run blocking (I was especially hurt-though not surprised-to see Hernandez taken off the board by the Miami pick), but he seems like a Coughlin type OL pick with his ability to swing outside in a pinch.

Thanks. 

I have Tampa signing Keenum, because I really don't think Keenum is going to get the kind of contract he thinks he will. Tampa needs someone to push Jameis and Keenum would be the type of QB that could be brought in to do that, without really being a threat for the starting job. I, like most of the NFL, don't see Keenum as a franchise starter. I think he's a dependable backup and that's it. I believe that is the ultimate reason he leaves Minnesota. If you watch interviews with the Vikings coaching staff, they are very minimal with their praise for Keenum. They are totally behind Teddy as their future starter. 

In Minnesota, I believe they re-sign Bridgewater as the starter. They need a backup QB as all three guys on their roster are UFA's. I don't think many people around the league view Tyrod as a good starting option, but he takes the job in Minnesota, because he feels it's his best chance to get back to being a starting QB, since Teddy is largely unproven. I believe the Vikings move on from Bradford, because they realize he is just injury prone and unreliable. I don't know where he ends up. Possibly Cleveland? 

I agree about Buffalo overpaying, but they believe they can win now, with a dependable QB and this is the nature of the NFL. In fairness, Smith appears to be one of those "late bloomers" and in my opinion is a much better QB than he was in 2013.

Agreed about Seattle. Even with Brown, that O-Line is a mess. 

Actually, Corbett is a solid run blocker. He was the best blocker on a Nevada team which ranked 20th in the nation in team rushing in 2016. Admittedly, the stats took a dive in 2017, but the Wolf Pack had a new head coach and a new offense was implemented. If you actually watch some tapes, Corbett is still as good as he ever was. As for Hernandez, I would've loved to see him on this team, but I see no way he falls to our 2nd round pick or else I would've definitely had us take him. He really helped himself during Senior Bowl week. I'm also a big fan of OG/OT Isaiah Wynn, but I don't think he falls to us in round 2 either.

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Rudolph: One team source likes Rudolph, but many others are skeptics. A general manager of a playoff team told me they had Rudolph graded on the third day of the 2018 NFL Draft. Another NFC general manager said they thought Rudolph could go on Day 2. An AFC college scouting director of a playoff team said they were giving Rudolph a fifth-round grade. One area scout said that they were really concerned with how Rudolph struggled throwing into tight windows, because he won't have receivers running wide open like they were for him at Oklahoma State.
via walterfootball (so take that fwiw)

Also Daniel Jeremiah has a write up prior to the season where 5 different NFL execs were asked about Mayfield or Rudolph.
3 votes Mayfield, 2 Rudolph.
But what I found interesting was... each exec thought "his guy" had better arm strength.

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Rudolph: One team source likes Rudolph, but many others are skeptics. A general manager of a playoff team told me they had Rudolph graded on the third day of the 2018 NFL Draft. Another NFC general manager said they thought Rudolph could go on Day 2. An AFC college scouting director of a playoff team said they were giving Rudolph a fifth-round grade. One area scout said that they were really concerned with how Rudolph struggled throwing into tight windows, because he won't have receivers running wide open like they were for him at Oklahoma State.
via walterfootball (so take that fwiw)

Also Daniel Jeremiah has a write up prior to the season where 5 different NFL execs were asked about Mayfield or Rudolph.
3 votes Mayfield, 2 Rudolph.
But what I found interesting was... each exec thought "his guy" had better arm strength.

Everything now, is smoke and mirrors. No real scout worth their salt is going to give anyone outside their own team, a "real" evaluation of players they like. They hold everything close to the vest. As far as any team targeting a specific player in the draft, I take it all with a grain of salt. I just go by what I see. 

As far as arm strength, I think Rudolph and Mayfield have very comparable arm strength and accuracy.

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I've watched 5 full games of Rudolph,Jackson and Allen. I would rank them Rudolph, Allen then Jackson. I like Rudolph alot, he needs to sit a year because he needs to stop just throwing jump balls on fly routes. When he drives the ball down the field he is fine but he tries to get cute and loft 50/50 balls to Washington and its like [BLEEP] are you doing?

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