10-01-2013, 09:35 PM
http://ftw.usatoday.com/2013/10/could-al...e-jaguars/
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">The Jacksonville Jaguars are on pace to be historically awful. They’ve been defeated by an average of 24.5 points during their 0-4 start, which is nine more points per game than Detroit was outscored by in its winless 2008 season.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">About 400 miles to the west, the Alabama Crimson Tide appear to be rolling toward a third-straight national championship game.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">If ever there was a year where the best college football team could beat the worst NFL team, this would be it, right?
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">Not even close.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">According to John Ewing of Prediction Machine, the woeful Jags would beat the powerful Crimson Tide in 91% of games on a neutral field. The average score of the simulations is 32-13 in favor of the Jags. In other words, Jacksonville beats Alabama by about the same margin as Alabama beats Colorado State.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">Interestingly, the Jaguars only had a 5% chance of beating Seattle during the team’s Week 3 game at CenturyLink Field, meaning Jacksonville had less of a chance to beat an NFL team than Alabama would at beating Jacksonville. So though it’s far-fetched for an NFL also-ran to lose to an NCAA powerhouse, there’s still a slightchance it could happen. If every dog has its day, why can’t Blaine Gabbert?
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">Ewing ran some other numbers to get context on how bad the 2013 Jaguars are. He found that in a matchup between this team and the expansion Jaguars from 1995, the expansion team would win 65% of the time. Impressively, Jacksonville is somehow worse than it was as an NFL newbie.
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<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">My take. When I saw the headline I couldn't believe it. This is a ridiculous article. :down:
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">The Jacksonville Jaguars are on pace to be historically awful. They’ve been defeated by an average of 24.5 points during their 0-4 start, which is nine more points per game than Detroit was outscored by in its winless 2008 season.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">About 400 miles to the west, the Alabama Crimson Tide appear to be rolling toward a third-straight national championship game.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">If ever there was a year where the best college football team could beat the worst NFL team, this would be it, right?
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">Not even close.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">According to John Ewing of Prediction Machine, the woeful Jags would beat the powerful Crimson Tide in 91% of games on a neutral field. The average score of the simulations is 32-13 in favor of the Jags. In other words, Jacksonville beats Alabama by about the same margin as Alabama beats Colorado State.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">Interestingly, the Jaguars only had a 5% chance of beating Seattle during the team’s Week 3 game at CenturyLink Field, meaning Jacksonville had less of a chance to beat an NFL team than Alabama would at beating Jacksonville. So though it’s far-fetched for an NFL also-ran to lose to an NCAA powerhouse, there’s still a slightchance it could happen. If every dog has its day, why can’t Blaine Gabbert?
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">Ewing ran some other numbers to get context on how bad the 2013 Jaguars are. He found that in a matchup between this team and the expansion Jaguars from 1995, the expansion team would win 65% of the time. Impressively, Jacksonville is somehow worse than it was as an NFL newbie.
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">
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<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">
<p style="margin-left:0px;font-size:.9em;color:rgb(34,34,34);">My take. When I saw the headline I couldn't believe it. This is a ridiculous article. :down: