(09-25-2022, 10:56 PM)NewJagsCity Wrote: [ -> ] (09-25-2022, 12:12 AM)p_rushing Wrote: [ -> ]It's because they hyped it up and declared a state wide emergency.
Since when has a hurricane gone into the gulf by going north across Cuba, and then continuing north, and making a right turn across FL?
The models were all over the place but NHC chose to use the Euro model. That one has been better so far this year but not with this storm. They are finally moving it west to where it was always going to go based on history.
The storms in the gulf generally move west from where they start the cone. It could even miss FL if it slows down a bit.
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Hurricane Charley in 2004. And it was a bad mother huncher.
Lived on the north end of Pine Island on the gulf coast for that one destroyed my house. Live about 20 miles away from that spot so I hope it doesn’t repeat. Just landed in Tampa from a vacation and lucky we have enough gas to drive home.
The following from the 26 September, 1700hr NHC discussion is what would concern me if I lived in the area of the west coast of FL. The rain dump from a slower track and high tide could bring some serious storm surge. When Florence was off the coast of NC for two days back in 2018 it dumped a boatload of water and backed up the rivers and creeks to create record breaking flood conditions on top of all the rain we already had that year. The damage it caused was substantial. Folks underestimate the damage of these types of storms.
Ian has made an expected turn toward the north-northwest, and its
initial motion is 330/11 kt. The hurricane will move
north-northwestward to northward over the next day or so as it is
steered by a mid-level ridge to the east. A turn to the
north-northeast with a decrease in forward speed is forecast on
Wednesday and Thursday as the center of Ian moves near the west
coast of Florida. The slower forward motion is likely to prolong the
storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts, especially along the west
coast of Florida. The latest track guidance has come into better
agreement on this scenario, although it is noted that small
deviations to the shore-parallel track could have large implications
on the impacts at particular locations along the west coast of
Florida. The NHC track forecast has again been adjusted slightly
eastward at 48-72 h, which follows the latest trends in the global
model guidance and lies near but just west of the multi-model
consensus aids.
I have plenty of bottled water to keep the old lady hydrated while she runs the generator rigged onto a stationary bike. We'll be fine.
Just my luck got home today and the damn ac fan isn't running. Tried to jump it but no luck. Probably stuck until after the storm used my last capacitor in the spring no idea why it keeps killing capacitors ugh
(09-26-2022, 09:45 PM)homebiscuit Wrote: [ -> ]I have plenty of bottled water to keep the old lady hydrated while she runs the generator rigged onto a stationary bike. We'll be fine.
Burning fat and generating kW's!
Looks like lots of rain coming, hoping we stay under 10" but have seen some 12-18"
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If we get 12-18", then San Marco will be underwater, the Black Creek will rise to record levels, and it'll make it tougher for power restoration. I just hope we avoid tornado spinoffs; to me, that is the worst part of a disintegrating storm system like this.
(09-27-2022, 12:01 AM)NewJagsCity Wrote: [ -> ] (09-26-2022, 09:45 PM)homebiscuit Wrote: [ -> ]I have plenty of bottled water to keep the old lady hydrated while she runs the generator rigged onto a stationary bike. We'll be fine.
Burning fat and generating kW's!
She’ll thank me afterwards, I just know it.
One more tip: get all your laundry done now. I learned the hard way.
(09-27-2022, 10:30 AM)anonymous2112 Wrote: [ -> ]One more tip: get all your laundry done now. I learned the hard way.
Good one.
(09-27-2022, 10:30 AM)anonymous2112 Wrote: [ -> ]One more tip: get all your laundry done now. I learned the hard way.
+100
There's nothing like stank laundry and dirty dishes to ruin a solid hurricane experience. Disposable plates and cutlery are a must.
Dang y'all. Ian just over Cuba and Key West is already getting hammered with wind and waves with some flooding reported just 29 minutes ago.
Well I loaded a fridge with milk and have a generator ready to roll to keep it for 25 gallons of fuel worth. Milk is for my 2 y/o. Wife loaded up with water and canned goods. So she has us preped and ready for about two weeks without power… She told me to load up on stuff I want from the store when I got off and I bought a trunk full of beer and I restocked my liquor cabinet…. She wasn’t as thrilled with my prioritizing as I was. I have a ice maker in the garage I can hook up to the generator and keep the coolers stocked for milk(also beer) and as far as food we have tons of canned goods so I feel pretty good lol
I'm about 20 miles from the Canadian border and not coming back until next week, so I think I'll be okay.
(09-27-2022, 08:08 PM)Sneakers Wrote: [ -> ]I'm about 20 miles from the Canadian border and not coming back until next week, so I think I'll be okay.
Well congratudamnlations.. Some of us aren't so lucky..
We'll save you some lolol
Extra helping even lolol
Everyone stay safe, especially if you are in Florida/in a direct path/close proximity to this storm. I wonder how much of it NC will get. I have seen predictions we may get some rain later on.
(09-27-2022, 08:08 PM)Sneakers Wrote: [ -> ]I'm about 20 miles from the Canadian border and not coming back until next week, so I think I'll be okay.
Nice. I’m totally looting your house.