12-08-2015, 02:36 AM
Quote:Funny thing is if we some how beat the Colts next week and the Texans loose to the Pats then suddely we are back in the picture for the division. We have to beat the colts though.
The only way the Jags can win the division is if they 1) win out and 2) Houston@Indy winner loses their other three games and 3) Houston@Indy loser drops one of their other two games (IND-Dolphins+Titans, HOU-Pats-Titans). There's a couple of other scenarios if HOU@IND ends in a tie, but I'm too lazy to work them out for such an unlikely event.
Whichever of those teams comes up on top will be at 7 wins. One more gets them to 8 - the best possible Jags showing. But if it's Indy, they'll have 4 division wins (3 current, plus beating Houston) vs Jax's 3. If it's Houston, they would have 4 division wins if they beat the Titans - much more likely than beating the Pats. But even if Houston did beat the Pats and lose to the Titans, they have a 5 game Strength of Victory advantage. Technically, that could change, but a 6-game SoV swing is asking for a ton of help in 4 weeks.