Login

SeldomRite · 06-25-2017, 05:30 PM

(06-25-2017, 05:24 PM)Bullseye Wrote:
(06-25-2017, 05:08 PM)SeldomRite Wrote: Frankly, if he gets those numbers and the defense is middle of the league in scoring the Jaguars should win the division.

1500 yards and double digit TDs means that either Bortles is playing well enough for the defense to not be able to just stack against the run, or Fournette is so dominant that it doesn't matter. Either way if he gets that kind of performance I'm thinking 10+ wins, and the division should be the Jaguars easily with 10+ wins.

Anyone thinking the Jaguars are 4th in the division is essentially betting that Fournette isn't special or that the rest of the team implodes in spite of him. Since they're saying he'll be special and I think the defense will be good enough to win their scenario would have the Jaguars first in the division, not last, mainly because I think Marrone and the offensive coaching staff have shown they can manage Bortles well enough.

I can't think of too many instances where a RB had 1500 yards and double digit TDs and played on a losing team. I remember Herschel Walker rushed for 1500 yards on a Dallas team that finished 3-13 in 1988, but he had a combined 7 TDs that year, and that defense was nowhere close to what the Jaguars have.

Gerald Riggs had a 1700 yard season and scored 10 TDs on a 1985 Falcons team that won 4 games. But they had David freaking Archer at QB. Whatever faults Bortles has, he's much better than Archer.

Our own MJD rushed for 1600 yards and had a combined 11 TDs in 2011. But anyone following this team now vs then could tell you there is no contest in comparative talent.

Right, it's not that RBs haven't had great seasons on bad teams, but on THIS team against THIS schedule in THIS division, if Fournette has a special performance and everyone else plays just decently, (Bortles won't need to throw 35 TDs for the team to have a shot, and regression toward the mean says that Bortles should not have the kind of back luck he had on tipped INTs he had in 2016) which is in reach for this roster, then the team should exceed 4th place expectations.

If the Jaguars were playing against the NFC east of the early 90s then just a great season from Fournette might not get us much, but the Jaguars team has a lot of talent, and the schedule doesn't appear to be a murderers row.