(09-04-2017, 04:12 PM)Bullseye Wrote:

(09-04-2017, 04:01 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: I have been "bitten" several times in the past thinking that Houston would be a divisional champion contender.  I agree that they do have arguably the best front 7 on their defense, but I don't see that as being enough.

Their offense just isn't good enough to put points on the board and/or keep their defense fresh and off the field.

The same could be said about the Jaguars, though the difference is having a QB with some experience, and better talent (on paper) at skill positions on offense around him which could really be the deciding factor.  I'm not a big fan of Blake Bortles, but I do think that he is better than Tom Savage.  Look at the rest of the skill players on each team's offense and it's not even close (my opinion).

On defense, the Jaguars (on paper) have a defense that can dominate the Texan's offense.

The fact they've won the division the past couple of years speaks to how bad the division was, as much as its a testament to their defense. 

But...

I think if we have better coaching (we do), we'll have a better chance to win against them than we've had in the past.

I think if we have a better OL (we do with Cam), we'll have a better chance to win against them than we've had in the past.

I think if we have a better RB (we do), we'll have a better chance to win against them than we've had in the past.

I think if we have a better defense (we do), we'll have a better chance to win against them than we've had in the past.

I think if we have better special teams (we do with Joe DeCamillis), we'll have a better chance to win against them than we've had in the past.

Can we avoid and force the killer turnovers?  That's the question.

Which is why Fournette has to be "top 5 pick RB GOOD." If he can get 4+ YPC and not fumble against the texans on 20+ carries then the Jaguars probably win the game. If Fournette plays like Just Another Guy and turns out to be as bad of a pick as I thought it was when it was announced then the Jaguars have another losing season including dropping games against teams like the texans that don't have much of a functioning offense.

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