(09-06-2017, 12:47 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: The projected track of this storm doesn't look good right now.  At this point it's looking like another Mathew.

Only stronger.  I ride A1A quite often on the motorcycle, and the damage from Vilano through Crescent Beach was incredible after Matthew, washing out portions of A1A completely.  Many of the homes north of St. Augustine are still not repaired, and remain condemned from that storm damage.  The shoreline was completely washed away in many areas.  There's a picnic area south of Guana that St. Johns County had just updated to include covered patio areas on concrete slabs.  Prior to Matthew, they were a good 20 feet from the dune, and another 150 or 200 feet from the waterfront.  After Matthew, the pads were hanging over the edge of the dune.  They just completed rebuilding that section of the beach a few months ago.  

There are 2 houses in particular south of there where the foundation was completely washed out.  In one instance, the water came completely through the house and blew out the garage doors and the siding.  The house hasn't been touched since.  Another house was built on pilings with a concrete foundation.  The pilings are holding up the house, but the slab itself ended up about 5 feet above the sand, and eventually collapsed.  

To see the devastation down there and the effort to rebuild, I feel sorry for these people because they're potentially going to see the same thing again.  Every house in that area sustained serious damage, and they're just now getting back on their feet.  Another hit similar to Matthew is going to create questions about the feasibility of rebuilding these homes again.

Let's hope and pray that the track continues to be pushed more to the east, and that this minimizes the impact to the coastal areas of FL, GA, and the Carolinas.

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