(09-07-2017, 10:22 AM)NYC4jags Wrote:

(09-07-2017, 10:12 AM)homebiscuit Wrote: Regardless of the track it takes, I believe we will be alright. It's going to have the landmass of the entire state to weaken it before it reaches us. Yes, we might get some high winds and rain, but not full on hurricane weather.

That's my anticipation. Based on predictions and experience I'm guessing we'll get 60-70 mph winds and a lot of rain.  
Those near the ocean, river or tributaries will see a storm surge as well. 

South Florida landfall will weaken it. Just have to hope when the eye bounces back out over the ocean north of Canaveral it doesn't pick up steam again:/  

Right now, I see a lot of yardwork and a new chainsaw blade purchase in my future.

If it makes landfall in South Florida, that does weaken it a bit for us, but they're still saying strong CAT3 when it gets nearest to us.  Even if it takes a significant northerly turn sooner, it could brush South Florida and stay over the Atlantic up the coast and we'd see similar conditions.  I do think we'll end up with Matthew type weather as a result.  But, one bit of encouraging news is that they're saying the storm surge won't be as bad with this one.  So the coastal washout we saw south of here in Crescent Beach up through St. Augustine and even here in Jax with flooding at the beaches won't be as severe as it was last year

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