Quote:I think this stats proves why a lot of people like Bridgewater, and why some don't like him as much. The article points out that 50% of his throws are in the 1-10 yard range. However, as the article itself states, it does not take into account progression and reads. Those who watch Teddy often enough will know that a lot of these throws are indeed, check downs. They are not your typical Garrard/Gabbert checkdowns however, where its "Welp, first option covered, time to dump it off" kind of passes. Teddy typically goes through his entire progression first, leaving the checkdown as the last option...as it should be. However, what I really want to point out is this...
According to the stats, Bridgewater attempts 50% of his passes in the 1-10 yard zone. But the thing is, he completes 88% of his 1-5 yard passes, and 81% of his 6-10 yard passes.I don't know about you, but if my QB can complete 88% and 81% of his passes of the needed 10 yards to move the chains...I take it...especially since he also completes a good enough percentage on passes 11-20 yards zone. That his percentage remains high regardless on if he's blitzed, pressured, or has a clean pocket adds to the value of these stats.
It also validates what I've seen of Manziel. I think he throws a reallly nice deep sideline throw. They are often not thrown with great velocity, but have great touch. If you have the WR who can high point these throws (like he did in TAM in Evans), it can be a high percentage throw. I don't know if that will translate in the NFL....but it sure can be pretty to look at.
Yeah, my man @NU_gap did a great job with the aDOT stats in this article, but there was a lot of context missing that would help give some color to the stats too.
For example, Teddy completes so many in the 1-10 yard range because ULs offense ran more on 1st and 2nd than other 3, leaving him in 3 and medium quite often so of course he is going to attempt more in that range to move the chains.
Manziel's pass first (and usually second) offense meant that if he didn't complete the first down pass he was having to attempt to attempt more long passes on 2nd and 3rd and 10. That helps explain why he attempted so many 'NFL throws'. Also, with Johnny having elite offensive lines for his whole career it helped let routes develop longer or allow his scrambles to be more effective, so he was also able to attempt more deep passes.
Also, as I've said with Carr (as I am his only unbiased pseudo defender left), you have to approach scouting him with such a different mindset than any other QB because of that blasted offense. The screens and swings were basically Fresno's run game so of course he is going to have more throws in the sub 5 yard range. That also greatly lowers his attempt %s in the other quadrants naturally. Then you have to think about how many of his passes were forced and rushed deep because he had by far the worst oline of the group too. Scouting him based on aDOT statistics is an injustice to his skills, because that offense doesn't allow for proper measurements.
