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The Dareus effect (Run D first 7 weeks vs. last 9)

#17

(01-10-2018, 11:37 AM)Jaguarmeister Wrote: I keep seeing articles on the subject show how the Jags moved from near the bottom of the league to 21st in the league regarding rushing yards given up.  That's all well and good, but I believe it's more pertinent to know the rankings for the team with and without Dareus since the trade occurred considering that's explicitly why he was brought in so I crunched the numbers myself because I couldn't find a site that ranked teams week to week.  If there is one, please point me in that direction for future reference.  There is a site that ranks over the previous 3 weeks (we were number 1 against the run the 3 weeks immediately after the trade), but it won't do last 9 or other groupings of games.

We played 7 games prior to the trade and were ranked 30th in the league giving up an average of 138.57 yards on the ground per game over that span.  After the trade, we played 9 games and gave up an average of 98.89 yards on the ground per game which is good for 7th in the league over that span.

Here's the top 10 in the league (and the Jags) thru the first 7 games with average given up per game:

1.  Eagles     67.0
2.  Broncos   72.86
3.  Vikings    76.57
4.  Bills         80.14
5.  Panthers  81.14
6.  Browns    83.71
7.  Lions       91.57
8.  Dolphins  95.43
9.  tinhorns   96.57
10. tacks     100.14
...
30. Jaguars  138.57

Here's the top 10 (and Buffalo for perspective) thru the last 9 games with average given up per game:

1.  Cardinals 77.0
2.  tacks       79.89
3.  Ravens    84.78
4.  Eagles     88.67
5.  Vikings    89.0
6.  Panthers  93.44
7.  Jaguars   98.89
8.  Steelers   101.22
9.  Packers   101.44
10. 49ers     102.11
...
32. Bills       159.22



These numbers could be further analyzed by separating out RB rushing yards from QB designed runs and scrambles, but that seems like a lot of work and I think these numbers already tell a compelling story and that is that Dareus goes from the #4 team against the rush thru the first 7 games to the #30 team which he then helps turn into the #7 team over the last 9 games while his former club falls to last in the league against the rush.  I don't know that a player's specific value at a particular task could be more pronounced than it is with these numbers.

Excellent post.  I have nothing further to contribute.
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RE: The Dareus effect (Run D first 7 weeks vs. last 9) - by RedRooster28 - 01-11-2018, 12:48 PM



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