(02-02-2018, 02:15 AM)Upper Wrote:

(02-02-2018, 01:34 AM)leopold332002 Wrote: I understand your concern of this team regression to the mean based on staying status quo but let the situation play out because the man can still develop under the proper coaching in his life.

The problem is we have hundreds and hundreds of samples and it's rare that QBs continue progressing past ~50 starts. There are a couple outliers like the perpetually pointed out Alex Smith and Eli Manning (maybe one or two others that haven't been chronicled), but in the far more common case the QB is what he is at this point.

So the real question is what is the reward if we risk it by sticking with Blake and hoping he becomes an outlier instead of going for Cousins? I'll copy/paste again since it got ignored.

1. We sign Cousins and have a safe but expensive franchise QB for the foreseeable future.
2. Bortles succeeds and we save a little money in 2018 only. Then we pay him and have an expensive franchise QB for the forseeable future.
3. Bortles fails and we waste a year of prime championship caliber window AND we don't have a franchise QB.

Best case scenario Bortles takes another step and then becomes very expensive himself after one year and we're in the exact same situation we would be in with Cousins. Best is not actually any better. Any other scenario is worse. There isn't a scenario that's better than just signing Cousins now. (Ok fine there is one, we draft a QB who 28 teams pass on at least once who in year two immediately becomes a franchise QB capable of cheaply leading a team to a super bowl...obviously very very unlikely).