(02-03-2018, 03:35 PM)Upper Wrote:

(02-03-2018, 02:37 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: Except the angle of drafting a good QB, which everyone seems to think is impossible for some reason. 

We're talking about finding a guy in the late first or late second round potentially that just needs to be as good as, or better than Blake Bortles. This is not exactly the search for the Holy Grail. 

What odds would you put it on not only picking the right QB, but having him developed enough to lead a super bowl push by year 2? I'm just doing ballpark research but in the last decade or so worth of drafts it looks like there are about 8 or 9 QBs drafted a year in the late 1st and after, and a little less than 1 franchise QB per draft. Some of the stronger ones like Jimmy G and Cousins didn't start until year 3 or later as well.

I think giving it a 10% chance is being awfully optimistic.

(02-03-2018, 05:28 PM)Upper Wrote: Yeah, didn't figure I'd get a straight answer. You know I am not talking about finding the next Joe Montana, but you also know the odds are slim and don't want to admit it is the longshot option of the ones that I supplied...that everyone also conveniently ignored.

The truth is simple, the best way way to maximize our window is signing Cousins. No combination of gambling on a Bortles step forward or a draftee comes close.

What straight answer were you seeking?  A percentage? 

With the following fix to your flawed question - I'll give you a number.  It's a pretty random guess, but sure, I'll play if you are trying to accuse me of avoiding something.

 What is the percentage chance this F.O. can hit on a QB in the 2018 draft that plays as good as, or better than Blake   Bortles in his second year? 

65%

It's a pretty intriguing crop of QBs. 

I do not "know" or think that's it's the longshot you keep insisting it is. 

You can ignore this option all you want and deem it a longshot. I think it's the best and smartest way forward.

---