Unless I have missed something, the chart can be misleading.

The criteria is whether the pick becomes a quality starter.

My first concern is over what time frame/for whom? A player may not become a quality starter for the team that drafted him, but it doesn't mean he was a bad draft pick.

Sometimes, the circumstances into which he was drafted determines whether he becomes a quality starter. Mark Brunell was drafted by Green Bay, who already had a young Brett Favre already entrenched as the starter at QB.

Depending upon how you look at it, it could wrongly be considered by this chart one of two ways.

1. He could count as a good pick by the Packers, even though he never saw the field for the Packers and didn't become a starter until he became a Jaguar.

2. He could count as a bad pick by the Packers, even though they accurately evaluated his talent as a viable NFL QB.

Sometimes, there are player related circumstances that dictate whether it was a good pick or not. The Atlanta Falcons picked Brett Favre in the 2nd round in 1991. However, because he was a bit of a party animal his rookie year, then coach Jerry Glanville thought it best to trade him after his rookie year. He became a Hall of Famer in Green Bay. The team made the correct evaluation on the player, but the player did not become a quality starter until going elsewhere. Dallas selected WR Jimmy Smith in 1992. He had a broken leg his rookie year, and his second year he had an appendix injury. He wound up being cut in a dispute with Dallas owner Jerry Jones. Smith eventually became a quality starter for the Jaguars.

Again, how do these circumstances count in the percentages?

Furthermore, the chart presumes that because the player does not become a quality starter, he has no value to the team that drafted him. QB Frank Reich (the same guy now coaching Indy) was drafted by Buffalo in the mid 1980s. He never became a quality starter because he played the bulk of his career behind Jim Kelly. however, Reich was a valued backup, and when Kelly was injured, Reich came through for Buffalo in grand style, including authoring the biggest comeback in NFL playoff history. There have been plenty of good non QB like 3rd down RBs like Dave Meggett, nickel backs like Aaron Colvin who were never considered quality starters who nevertheless were assets to the teams that drafted them.

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