(05-12-2018, 08:49 PM)JaguarKick Wrote: Gil Brandt also ranked us as the second most vulnerable division leader, after only the Chiefs.

Considering that the Jaguars are the first AFCS team in three seasons to get to double digit wins, and should have had a couple more than they did I just don't see it. The Vikings should probably be considered the most vulnerable with Rodgers coming back this season.

Really vulnerability is about whether there are other championship quality teams in your division, and I don't see that being the case in the AFCS. I think Watson's 2017 will eventually be remembered like Bortles' 2015, which advanced stats sites like PFF have already noted for the most part. I think mariota is a passable QB in a similar mold to Bortles, the titans fans are trying hard to convince themselves that he's great, but from the outside looking in I see a guy that is injury prone and in three years in the league still hasn't shown he can make all of the throws or have the end of game "it" factor that guys like Brady do. He's typical in that his success follows the success of how good the team around him is, and while the titans did a good job in two very favorably scheduled games against the Jaguars last year I don't see them as actual challengers, I see them as having had about as fortunate a year as they could have considering their talent level. In a few years I expect they'll be pining for the days of Mularky keeping things held together with tape and bubblegum to make mariota look competent. The colts I just don't believe in. Even if Luck actually gets back onto the field he might not survive the first half against the level of violence the Jaguars defense will bring against him.

So while it's always possible the Jaguars could have an unfortunate season and end up somehow losing the division to an 8 or 9 win texans or titans team, I just don't think it's really likely. I think the Jaguars floor should be 10 wins and realistically they should have a real chance to be at 12 or 13.

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