(04-04-2019, 09:33 AM)iapetus Wrote:

(04-02-2019, 09:10 AM)sfljaguarsfan Wrote: Yeah it never made sense until you've actually watched him play that is... HOW can you be a jags fan and have watched Bortles all these years and not realize so many games he ever did jack until the game was out of reach and the defense was in soft zone prevent ?

Because that didn't particularly happen, certainly not consistently. How you can think it did is beyond me too - so many of the games Bortles played in through most of his career just plain didn't have garbage time by any sane meaning of the words, and in many of the ones that did he actually played worse with the game going out of reach, as he tried to do too much.

Just as a quick experiment, let's look at Blake's top passer ratings in games (the 14 with a passer rating over 100) and see which involved racking up stats in garbage time.

1. 2017 HOU - 143.7
This one was a 45-7 win. Don't tell me he racked up those stats in garbage time against a prevent defense.

2. 2015 @TEN - 134.5
A 39-42 loss that was competitive all the way through. No garbage time.

3. 2017 BAL - 128.2
Another big win (44-7) - again, no garbage time stats.

4. 2015 @TAM - 125.4
Lost 31-38. Was within a score until half way through the fourth quarter, and his stats weren't out of kilter for the few minutes where the Jags were down by two scores (one three-and-out, one touchdown drive leading to a failed onside kick).

5. 2017 @IND - 124.7
A 27-0 victory. Did the Colts start the game in prevent defense, maybe?

6. 2015 @NOR - 124.5
27-38 loss. The first example of some good stats with the game out of reach (13-31) - one deep TD pass and one long drive in large chunks.

Then 7-10 are all wins, so no garbage time. 11 was a very tight loss @IND. 12-14 were all wins.

Also of note, he has a career QB rating of 80.6 - when down by 14 points or more in the 4th quarter he has a QB rating of 62.6, with over twice as many interceptions as TDs.

A year ago Bortles had thrown 69 career TDs. Only 5 of them had come when his team was leading. He's literally called "the Tom Brady" of garbage time by media, because that's what the stats show for most of his career. Yeah the one good year was different because the team usually had a lead but then they ran to eat clock. 


Here's a example https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bla...bage-time/

Still amazing to me that you claim to be a fan and watch the games but somehow have managed to not see this phenomenon take place. Did you only become during the afc game run?

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