There are a lot of potential holes in this analysis. For starters, 3rd and 4th down failed completions are far worse than 1st and 2nd down because it ends your drive. They should really have two columns, one for 3rd/4th down score, and then next to it the total combined score for all downs so you can see how the rankings vary. Or if you only have the one total combined score, you need to weight it more heavily for the 3rd and 4th down failures. In addition, when looking at the 3rd/4th down failed completion, you'd also want to pair that up with total conversion rate on 3rd/4th down passes. A 0% failed completion score on 3rd down may be "perfection" but if you are only converting 10% of your 3rd downs, it becomes less meaningful. Anyone can have a 0% failed completion score if they chuck the ball 50 yards down field every 3rd down.

The next obvious hole is a failed completion is better than an incompletion. Would you rather have 2nd and 6 or 2nd and 10? When Fournette tip toes to the line and gets stuffed for no yards on first down, after second down would you rather be 3rd and 5 or 3rd and 10? Obviously you'd take the failed completion over the incompletion. This chart would make you think it's a negative but it's better than the alternative. This would be a little more alarming if he had an average comp%, but he had the 2nd highest in the league this year.

The other potential hole is the design of the offense. An offense designed to throw down the field will always rate near the top of this list. A la Winston and Fitzpatrick being up there. But an offense based on west coast principals of quick timing passing attack and using dump off passes to act as your running game will most likely rank near the bottom.

We all know Foles' game is his ability to get the ball out quickly, low sack rate, low interception rate. Set up the offense designed to take advantage of that. Lull teams to sleep and then go over the top. Eagles clearly did so with success. So can we. The ironic thing is all we hear about is that we dont have the playmakers the Eagles have. This analysis would suggest playmakers are slightly less relevant if your game is one that stays close to the line of scrimmage. Especially from the WR point of view.

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