Quote:So how did Leftwich and Gabbert turn out ? How many failed first round qbs are there ? Why do they fail ? They're over drafted , rushed , and the team overall just wasn't ready for one.


I showed you already from the past 5 years , how many failed 1st round picks there are. Heck in the past 5 years , there's probably more successful 2nd round and beyond than first round picks


Dalton is considered a success because instead of spending a first round pick on him , they built an unbelievable roster. They could have Gabbert instead and lose AJ Green.... They are probably happy you weren't their GM. I'm sure if you were the GM of Houston, Vince Young over Mario Williams... There goes the success they had.

Your odds are only 50/50 that a first round pick will hit even, ~20% a day 2 QB will hit, and less than 5% that a day 3 QB will hit. It's not easy to find good QBs, but if you don't have one you don't win titles without extreme circumstances. 

 

Also, who is considering Dalton a success? He is the exact definition of QB purgatory. The Bengals are in a terrible situation because they have a SB caliber team being held back by an average QB...and it's going to be even worse because they're probably going to be forced to give him a 100 million dollar 2nd contract after he 'leads' them to another playoff appearance next year. That's what makes QB purgatory so dangerous. While they're on their cheap rookie deals is not that bad, but then the teams relative success forces teams to give them the big 2nd deal and then that team is in cap hell with a very expensive average QB.

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