(03-04-2020, 11:07 AM)Andy G Wrote:

(03-04-2020, 10:45 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: No. You just don't grasp the concept of value. 

It all boils down to how great the difference in rating between player A and player B actually is. 
There is an acceptable gap that can exist there that allows you to select a lower rated player at position of need, and there are gaps that are unacceptable in that situation wherein you take the higher rated guy because you'd be a fool to pass.  

General Managers routinely pass on higher rated players to take guys who they rate slightly less that will immediately make a greater impact on their roster. The fact that folks don't get this is mind boggling to me. It's how the draft works. 

Luckily, the Jags won't be faced with much of these decisions in the early rounds since they need help at 7 or 8 spots. They can re-prioritize their needs on the fly based on who is available when they pick.

Yes...  But what you're missing there (and this is the point of this thread) is that the team's circumstances are always a factor too.

If we had a strong roster and expected to be competitive in 2020, then we'd expect to concentrate on picking the positions we most need to fill now - the OTs and DTs for instance.

But with every departure, we are less likely to be competitive in 2020 and so there is more justification for taking players who aren't seen as immediate needs, but who are simply the most talented player available - so maybe a WR early.

Yes, of course it's always a balance between need and talent. But it's also a sliding scale and I think we're sliding further towards the "draft talent" end at the moment.

I respectfully disagree completely. 

Our situation doesn't alter the draft strategy beyond making it more pliable due to multiple needs. 

This team has 7, maybe 8 holes to fill to be competitive. Yes, it's very unrealistic to think you'll hit on more than 3 or 4 of those with real tangible  and immediate upgrades, but it doesn't stop you from trying to do it as completely as you are able. 

When undeniable value presents itself on draft day you'll pounce on it this year the same as you would any year, and when a player at a spot of need presents himself you'll select him based on the same scale you apply in any other year as well. 

I would not alter any of that, and Dave Caldwell announced this as his intent immediately after Khan announced he was being retained.  He said he'd take a balanced approach to the draft as he always attempts to, and will neither reach for spots of need, nor ignore long term value that presents itself unexpectedly.

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