(03-30-2020, 11:19 AM)JagJohn Wrote: (03-30-2020, 09:33 AM)Mikey Wrote: As others have said, makes more sense to either flip the OT/WR order in your draft, or if possible, trade back from 9 where one of the WR should be available and fits at a better value. This draft is immensely deep at WR, which kills some of the value for the top prospects.
Also not a fan of just throwing a position at the other spots -that's how you end up overdrafting a player just because they play a particular position.
This blueprint was for my idea of which direction we could go at the picks we have, so I kinda ignored the trade side of it. But I competely agree with the trade down idea. My post in another thread a couple weeks ago was suggesting actually that we trade down from 9 AND then trade up from 20. So we would end up with 2 picks around the 13/14/15/16 range, which would enable us to get a WR/OT or WR/DT or DT/OT combo of those top ranked players (who likely won't fall to 20). If they played it right, they could even get an extra pick or two out of it from the added cost of a team moving up to 9. At the very least they could come out net equal. Probably all a pipe dream though.
I also think the concept that the depth at WR means the top guys should fall is a bit flawed. It might play out that way a small bit, but make no mistake, there is a huge difference between the top 3 in this draft and the guys who might be available in the 3rd / 4th rounds. Players like Bryan Edwards, Van Jefferson, Gandy-Golden will be good value down there, but they are no where near the same value as the top guys... I think you could make a clear argument that if you don't get a WR with say our first 3 picks... then maybe you can wait and see which of that middle tier of WRs drops.
I wasn't looking at 3rd/4th rounds necessarily, but more that some mocks have up to 6 WR going in the first. 20% of the entire round at WR. If you miss on Jeudy/Ruggs/Lamb, there's Jefferson/Shenault/Higgins/Mims still on the board. If it was Lamb only and then that second tier, teams looking for a top WR are going to fight to get the jump on other teams who want the same guy. The fact that there are 3 guys who consensus seems to be they all are top talents, and should go in the middle of the first means there's less need for desperation picks. Instead of taking one of the 3 at pick 9, we may have confidence that moving back to say, 14 would still allow us to get one of the three.
For the top 3 receivers, that lack of distinction at the top likely means that a team is not going to jump into the top ten to pick them. That's going to hurt them, from a financial perspective.
