(05-03-2020, 07:55 AM)Cleatwood Wrote:

(05-03-2020, 01:44 AM)rpr52121 Wrote: This right here.

Since 1998, only 5 QB's started a Super Bowl with the franchise that earned a top 10 pick to draft them by virtue of their record:

Peyton Manning with Colts twice.
Donovan McNabb with Eagles.
Eli Manning with Giants twice. (Yes he was traded to them, but they were also bad enough to get the 4th pick).
Matt Ryan with Falcons.
Cam Newton with Panthers.

And 3 of those guys lost the big game, and Peyton lost once. Alex Smith doesn't count to me, because they don't reach the Super Bowl without Kapernick. Plus even his team lost to the Ravens.

Most other teams traded up to pick their franchise QB, or he fell to them later in the draft.

It's really difficult to turnover a roster of a "worst team" in the league quickly. Plus since the second contract of any franchise quarterback is such a large percentage of the team's cap, the team really needs to be a division contender and able to win a playoff game by your QB's 2nd season. 

Sure, just getting "the guy" at all cost may help the Jags be relevant for once, but it may not the best way to actually win a ring.

The Super Bowl is the ultimate goal but having continued success is also pretty great. All those QBs listed above gave their team a chance to win every week and ultimately a shot in the playoffs. That’s what the Jags need more than anything. Consistent success and playoff appearances.

My point is not that those guys didn't do that. It is that of the 42 Super Bowl appearances since 1998, only 7 were claimed by QB's drafted by one of the worst teams. That doesn't even consider the longer litany of QB's drafted in the top 10 who did NOT make their team relevant, and who many experts thought were "sure things".

My point is that you need a Super Bowl winning TEAM. If you coach the team or manage to have a team that is one of the worst in the league, you have created a much, much larger mountain to climb that is nigh insurmountable.

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