(08-12-2020, 04:51 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: This is exactly who I predicted he would pick a long time ago.  She checks all the boxes.

This is a pick that is designed to energize the democratic base: blacks and women.  With Trump hatred at the level it is at, what Biden has to do is get out the vote.  This pick is designed to help that effort.

That's the basic assumption, but I think the situation might be a little bit more complicated than that.  When was the last time since 1965 the Democratic party felt they HAD to have a black face on the ticket to drive black voter turnout?  In reality, I believe the Friday immediately following the GF killing, Rasmussen Daily Tracking had Trump in the low 40's in job Approval with black Americans.  Even legacy media was writing about JB's growing problem with black men.  

The Dems electoral strategy (until the next immigration reform) is built on 90+% of the black vote and in big numbers.  When Hillary Clinton didn't put together the same coalition from the 08 & 12 cycles we see what happened in the electoral college.  Even with the full court press from Academia, Pop Culture, Pro sports, and Legacy media trump is still hovering in the mid Twenties in Rasmussen.  That may not seem like a lot, but anything over 10-15% would likely mean no more than a 3% raw vote advantage to the Democrats on November 3rd and another likely showdown in the Electoral College.  

As for women, How bad must the polling have been for school closures to have both Andrew Cuomo and Chuck Schumer come out in favor of reopening schools to preserve the economy?  What's the suburban republican woman in GA, FL, TX etc. thinking when they see a couple in Minnesota being accosted outside their own homes?

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