Quote:I don't know, TBH.

 

If you believe the "Ketchman's bad influence theory," he advocated BAP without really getting into the evaluation aspect, and fans who look up to him ran with it without considering the evaluation/ranking aspect, either.

 

Whether it's that or for some other reason, it seems this is always left out of the analysis.

I think if you make the assumption that you are getting your evaluations right, theoretically, BAP should net you the most overall talent.

 

The problem arises when the BAP is at a redundant position on your roster. BAP assumes that a player will maintain his relative draft value if he develops the way he was expected, but it doesn't work that way. Just like when you drive a car off the lot, the players draft value plummets almost as soon as he is drafted.

 

Take Monroe for instance. He may have not quite lived up to expectations, but he was good enough not to consider his pick a wasted pick or a bust. A quality starter at a premium position. There is no way someone would expect to find a quality starter at a premium position with a 4th or 5th rd pick, yet that turned out to be his market value.

 

When BAP lands on a position with room for improvement, it is a more efficient way to acquire talent. If you stick to BAP when it lands on a position of strength, you could actually loose overall talent due to depreciation of trade value.

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