But i mean let's look at the other QB's over the past 3 seasons:
2020: Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert.
2019: Kyler Murray, Daniel Jones, Dwayne Haskins, Drew Lock.
2018: Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson.

There a few guys who have moments like Murray, Herbert, and Burrow from last 2 drafts, but have yet to produce results better than Minshew. And honestly there isn't that much tape out on Herbert and Burrow yet.
Allen looked horrible until this year, year 3. Have to see if it persists.
Lamar had an offense built around him that plays into his elite running ability that no one can match and makes his reads easier, yet he still inconsistent as a passer and has fewer comebacks than Minshew.

So if I had to make a decision today, Minshew is probably not the guy. But honestly it is way too early to make that call. Plus You don't have to for 12 more games. And even if the season goes down the hole and they decide to draft Trevor next season, it is not like they will be cutting Minshew who then would become the best back up QB in the league.

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