(10-28-2020, 12:31 AM)NeptuneBeachBum Wrote:

(10-27-2020, 11:30 PM)mikesez Wrote: Because you emphasized, twice, how difficult and beautiful that pass from Minshew was.  Why emphasize something if it doesn't matter to the point you're making?


I'm down with subjective grading, watch the play and decide for yourself if you should grade Bortles high for a long pass or grade Robinson high for chasing down an inaccurate duck. It's just an opinion, but it can be interesting.
I'm down with anything I can compute for myself with a simple play by play.  If you can do it off the stat line, even better.
What I'm not here for is a number I cant verify, that they're going to pass off as an objective fact.  That's nonsense, to me.  I'm not here for the computer saying, this play had a bigger impact on the outcome game than this other play, and you attributing that to the QB rather than fate.  The QB didn't know the computer readout before the snap.  The coach didn't know that before the play call.  What they did know is what the defense was showing, and which of their guys were looking tired. And the QB knows what the play call is, even though the QBR algorithm does not. If we are going to wait the value of a play based on something that happened before the play was made, it should be things that the person making the play would be aware of. Time remaining, sure. Score, sure. Down and distance, sure. But make it predictable.  Don't weight it on some statistical analysis based on the outcome of other, similar games.  But why bother trying to find and reward those "key plays"?  As I said, if the QB is playing the entire game, all that should come out in the wash anyways.

Again... you are missing the point.  By a mile.  QBR is NOT subjective analysis, it is objective.  Minshew's pass for the TD to Conley was 28 yards, no YAC.  For Robinson, it was 1 yard + 9 yards YAC.  That is the difference...the QB gets more credit for Conley's TD pass than Robinson's passed on that.  QBR doesn't measure the "beauty" of the pass... it does measure where the ball was thrown to and the YAC to indirectly evaluate the distance of the pass and QB play.  If you want qualitative assessment, that is the coaches' grading sheet.  And I have no idea why you would mention the mindset of the QB or coach in their understanding of the QBR... what are you even talking about?  That's ridiculous.  You clearly do not understand the point, or even the discussion about QBR vs. Passer Rating vs. ANY/A.  I have no idea what you're even talking about anymore dude... and neither do you.

Dude, no need to be hostile.
My point is, I don't like QBR because you can't verify it.
Here's an example:
Suppose at the end of the game, Byron Leftwich has a 105 qb rating.  But we watched the game.  We know he played poorly most of the game.  So we can get out our calculators and say things like, "If Jimmy Smith had dropped that one 4th down touchdown pass, Leftwich's rating would have been 74.". But with QBR you can't do that.  You'd have to call up ESPN and ask them, "can you tell me what Leftwich's grade would have been in this scenario?"
See the difference?
If you can't verify it or tweak it, it's not interesting. I guess it's interesting for the guys who have access to the secret sauce at ESPN, but not to me.

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