Wisconsin showed a near-90% registered voter turnout when the average turnout is 70%.

Democrats in Georgia, since 2000, average 1.6M voters with an average 44.52% of the voters. Obama's historic 2008 election hit 1.8M and he still lost the State. Creepy Uncle Joe, who only visited once a couple days before, was capable of hitting 2.4M and 25% higher than 2016. I remember going into homes in poor areas and seeing framed Obama pictures on the walls. Obama had a lot of support in Georgia compared to other Democrats and even he couldn't break 2M. I work in the most liberal part of Georgia, and I live in a fairly liberal area too. It's anecdotal but you almost never see Biden signs, and I'd guess there's probably a 10-to-1 Trump to Biden sign ratio. I simply do not see the support for Biden. If what we were seeing only happened in one or two States... sure.

But I don't understand how Trump can do better in most red states, a lot of blue states (New York, Illinois, etc.), and then do significantly worse in swing states.

---