(12-07-2020, 11:13 AM)snowwolf776 Wrote: lets not forget too the first rd pick can also end up being a busts as well.  Ryan leaf  ,jhoney manzil,jamarcus russel.  im not saying the 1 pick is a bad thing,just that its  not aa gurnatee of a team finding a franchise qb.

Jamarcus is the only #1 pick in your examples.

The conversation isn't about shooting for a QB in the first round, it's trying to get first pick of the entire board, so that you get the guy you think is the best player and fit for your team. You're right, they do have a chance at washing out, but Manziel was taken in the 20's, and that is not remotely the same as a top of the draft selection.

In 20 years (2001-2020), the first overall pick has been a QB 15 times. The only ones not to make a Probe Owl have been: David Carr (2002), Russell (2007), and Sam Bradford (2010). Three others (Mayfield, Murray and Burrow) were the tops for 2018,19,20 respectively and haven't had much opportunity to get selected.

I like my odds of hitting on a good QB at #1.

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