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Bullseye · 12-22-2020, 01:27 AM

This week in the AFC South-Week 16

In this weird weird 2020 season, this is one of the most interesting weeks of the season for several reasons. First, we are two weeks away from the end of the regular season. The tacks and Colts are tied atop the division with the tacks owning the tiebreaker. Secondly, both the tacks and colts have games against division leading teams looking for home field advantage, with the tacks playing in Lambeau field against the Packers, while the Colts are also on the road against the Steelers. In a matchup that will feature two top tier QBs in the future, the Bengals (who had this year’s #1 overall pick in Joe Burrow, will face Houston and star QB DeShaun Watson, and finally, and personally of most interest to me, thanks to the Jets unexpectedly beating the Rams, the Jaguars are two more losses away from landing the top overall pick and having the rights to Trevor Lawrence. host the lately resurgent Bears.
As for my own prognostication, after a hiccup of two weeks ago, I rebounded nicely with a 3-0 week, bringing my total to 35-11.

On to this week’s picks…

Tacks (10-4) at Green Bay (11-3)-if there is any team built to win in Lambeau Field in December, it’s the tacks. Their pounding running game is the type of balanced offense that can thrive in cold snowy weather and hold the ball and keep the Aaron Rodgers led Packer offense off the field, But as I’ve stated repeatedly, the tack defense isn’t as good as it has been before. If they can’t slow the Packers early, then it won’t bode well. I think the Packers are not an overly physical team, but I think with them having the better QB, home field advantage, and have to play to keep home field throughout the playoffs, I pick the Packers to win 28-23.

Colts (10-4) at Steelers (12-2) The Steelers have been struggling of late, having lost two straight game. They still have hopes of home field throughout, though they may have irretrievably ceded it to the Chiefs. They are still trying to stay ahead of Buffalo for seeding. The big concern for the Steelers is offense. Their inability of late to run the ball is bad, but it is exacerbated by Big Ben's inability to throw deep any more. Looking at the Bills game last week and the Bengals game tonight, generally they are dinking and dunking, not throwing more than 10-15 yards downfield. I think Big ben is done. But their defense is capable of slowing the Colts passing game. For the Colts to win, offensively, they must protect Phillip Rivers, run the ball, and protect the ball and to not let the Steelers force turnovers. I think the Colts are healthier and playing better overall. Colts win 24-22.

Bengals (2-10-1) at Houston (4-10)-Ordinarily I would say the Texans are playing for draft position, but Miami has their first round draft pick. Oops. In any event, Houston wins because Watson is healthy but Burrow is not. Texans win 28-17.

Bears (7-7) at Jaguars (1-13). The Bears are playing like they care. I don’t see the Jaguars winning this game. They better not. Da Bears win 23-10.

Last week: 3-0
Overall: 35-11

Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!