(02-11-2021, 08:52 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote:

(02-10-2021, 09:23 PM)mikesez Wrote: No one's stopping you from commissioning a poll, and explaining your counting methods, and publishing your results.
If 538 is manipulating their data, prove it.

What I said was accurate and already proven. 538 aggregates polls, most of which contact 1,002 adults in the USA for their samples. 15,000 was an overstatement.

It's apples and oranges though.
The polls 538 aggregates are attempting to find every type of person from every region, a representative sample.  They may not be perfectly representative, but at least an attempt was made to have them perfectly representative.
The 15,000 you mentioned are in the same line of work and all had the same specific thing just happen to them.  They are disproportionately male. They may or may not be voters. No one tried to make them represent America as a whole. Why make the comparison?

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