I really believe the 1st 5 Jaguars picks will all be needs based. The only exception would be if a receiver like Devonta Smith or Waddle unexpectedly dropped to pick 25. Since this is extremely unlikely to happen, the picks will be as follows:

Need 1: Receiving tight end- Freirmuth will be the guy, but not until pick 33.

Need 1b: Left tackle- This is difficult to predict. Assuming Sewell and Darrisaw are gone, there's a good chance they address left tackle at 25 with one of Cosmi, Eichenberg, Mayfield or Jenkins. Slater is more of a guard.

Need 3: Edge rusher- Other than Allen and Chaisson, I'm not sure who they trust to come off the edge from the 3-4. Chaisson still needs to improve significantly, but even if he does they need another guy. As is the case with
left tackle, there are several options here. Rousseau, Ojulari, Owusu-Koramoah, Phillips, Collins and Ossai. I'd expect one of these 6 to be selected either with pick 25 or 46.

Need 4: Free safety- Moehrig is the best of this group. If they really LOVE him, he could even go as high as pick 25. Personally, I'd rather take the left tackle or edge ahead of Moehrig, so they address this position at the top
of round 3. There will be value with Grant, Cisco and Holland as possibilities. My pick would be Elijah Molden. He reminds me of Winfield from the Vikings. Undersized, but instincts are top notch. I'd
trust him at nickel corner or safety.

The ideal draft would have Rousseau fall to pick 25 with the Jaguars taking him. Unfortunately, this won't likely happen so my expectation is for the top 5 picks to look like this:

1 (1) Trevor Lawrence

1 (25) Samuel Cosmi

2 (33) Pat Freirmuth

2 (46) Joseph Ossai

3 (65) Elijah Molden


The remainder of the draft will add a pass receiving back, more depth on the offensive line and possibly another tight end. It also wouldn't shock me if Meyer can't resist passing on a weapon like Kadarius Toney or Rondale Moore if either falls to round 2. These would be "sexy" picks, but I think the receiving group is good enough with Chark, Viska, Jones and Johnson so I'd priortize a tight end over this.

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