(03-28-2021, 04:51 AM)BristolianJaguar Wrote: Bullseye, this trade has me completely dumbfounded!
I can see only two explanations that would make this a good move but I see both as extremely unlikely;
49ers have some inside info that the Jets are really happy with Darnold and think they will pick someone other than Wilson.
Or,
They have everyone completely fooled and are moving up to get a non-QB
In my opinion, and I am no GM or amazing player evaluator but there is not chance I trade away all that capitol for any other QB other than TLaw or Wilson and that’s a push for the latter.
Thanks for the perspective.
You humbly acknowledge you aren't a GM or amazing player evaluator. You have broken the first rule of the message board. All message board posters are great GMs and player evaluators!
But seriously, it could certainly be argued that 49ers Gm John Lynch IS a GM and in fact a great player evaluator based on his work with the 49ers, having guided them to a Super Bowl appearance (and near win) in a relatively short period of time. He has made two trades to get QBs (well, one confirmed with the current trade in question presumably for a QB).
As for your two admittedly unlikely possibilities, they beg questions.
1. If they knew the Jets were not taking Wilson (or any QB) at #2, and they were targeting the guy the Jets were not going to take in Wilson, why make the trade now, and give other teams a whole month to move ahead of them to take their guy? I remember back in 1997 when the Raiders made a trade up to #2 overall, presumably to get T Orlando Pace, only for the Rams to out maneuver them days later to move up to #1 to get him.
2. If they were taking a non QB, who would they be targeting? Pitts? They already have an all world TE in Kittle, who is signed and still in his prime. Besides, TEs typically can be found much later. One of the three WRs? That would make no sense, given the 49ers have invested fairly heavily in the position in recent years and seem fine at the position. O-Line? They just signed LT Trent Williams to a massive 6 year contract. DL? Aside from them already being well stocked at DL, there's no defender in this draft at face value worth a top three pick. In fact, most mock drafts indicate there is no defender worth being taken in the top 8-10 picks.
3. Back to one of the questions I posed that you did not address, if you had a strong conviction about one of the QBs, but you were iffy at best about whether he would be worth that investment, how long would you be willing to go without a viable franchise QB, assuming you did not make the trade SF made for whatever reason?
4. You indicate the only two QBs you might have made that move for are Lawrence and maybe Wilson, and you said Wilson was an iffy proposition. Yet giving up what they did only got them to pick three, presumably out of range for either of the top two QBs. What WOULD you have paid to get up to Lawrence, if 3 1sts and a 3rd is the ceiling for Wilson?
For me, the whole thing shows how rare QBs are and how desperate teams are to find them.
With the QB they have now, the 49ers just appeared in the Super Bowl a couple of years ago. While he didn't have a great game in that Super Bowl, I don't think he's anywhere near bad enough for the 49ers to be described as truly desperate at the position.
Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!