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49ers trade up to #3

#26
(This post was last modified: 03-28-2021, 10:08 AM by Bullseye.)

(03-28-2021, 09:04 AM)BristolianJaguar Wrote: 4. I value TLaw as a prospect that even if he fails to be great he’s still going to be very good. Where as Wilson could be a bust. Therefore to move up to 1st for TLaw literally almost every pick for the next few years in the 1st-3rd rounds which would have to include multiple 1st each year. Anything else I wouldn’t except I think he’s worth that much.

The funny thing is that as exorbitant as the cost of the 49ers move up was, I could see where the Jets giving us five first round picks for Trevor Lawrence wouldn't be enough.

Giving up that much for Trevor Lawrence would be theoretically feasible for the Jets considering they have two first rounders the next two years thanks to the Adams trade to Seattle.  The Jets could give up both first round picks this year, both next year, and then a first round pick in 2023 and I wouldn't be persuaded that would be the right thing to do.

First, the odds of hitting on all of those picks are low.  More likely, we'll hit on some, miss on others.  That alone would mitigate the rewards for trading Lawrence.  On top of that, those picks they get from Seattle will likely be low.  Even though Wilson is complaining about the lack of protection he has, he's good enough and Seattle is good enough to where they will likely be in contention the next couple of years unless Seattle is dumb enough to trade Wilson.

Secondly, even assuming we hit on all of those picks, it's doubtful we re-sign all of those picks.  Granted we are operating under a different GM, but this team has a dubious history of retaining its own players.

But most importantly, the chances of us finding a QB as good as Trevor Lawrence are low.  While Wilson has a lot of admirers in the draft, the overwhelming consensus is he is the second best QB in this draft, and it isn't really that close.  If this dominant paradigm is true, odds are we'll end up using those picks to try to get another QB in the intermediate future anyway.

Now you said the most you would be willing to wait to get your franchise QB is a season tops.  Next year, the QB class at the top isn't nearly as strong as this year's class.  This year's class has possibly 5 QBs with first round grades:  Lawrence, Fields, Jones Lance and Wilson.  The 2022 class has UNC's Howell that looks to have a first round grade, and pundits are not calling him a generational type prospect the way they are describing Lawrence.

Unless you finish with the top overall pick, you'll either have to trade up, or hope he falls to where you are picking.  How do you guarantee you won't wait more than a year to get your franchise QB?
 

Worst to 1st.  Curse Reversed!





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Messages In This Thread
49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-26-2021, 01:24 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 01:25 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-26-2021, 01:28 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 01:32 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-26-2021, 01:36 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 01:42 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Cleatwood - 03-26-2021, 01:44 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by The Real Marty - 03-26-2021, 01:53 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-26-2021, 01:57 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by D6 - 03-29-2021, 05:10 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-26-2021, 01:47 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 01:56 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by JaG4LyFe - 03-26-2021, 03:47 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 03:54 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 04:19 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-26-2021, 05:48 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by JaguarKick - 03-27-2021, 09:00 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheO-LineMatters - 03-27-2021, 09:31 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Mikey - 03-29-2021, 10:03 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheDuke007 - 03-30-2021, 11:04 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-30-2021, 11:28 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Ordar - 03-27-2021, 09:52 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by iHaunting Raven - 03-27-2021, 02:27 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by JaG4LyFe - 03-27-2021, 02:34 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheDuke007 - 03-27-2021, 09:32 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-27-2021, 09:52 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheDuke007 - 03-28-2021, 02:26 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheO-LineMatters - 03-28-2021, 06:49 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-28-2021, 07:14 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Mikey - 03-29-2021, 10:31 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-29-2021, 09:44 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Mikey - 03-30-2021, 09:52 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-30-2021, 02:30 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by BristolianJaguar - 03-28-2021, 04:51 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-28-2021, 07:25 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheDuke007 - 03-28-2021, 02:15 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Mikey - 03-29-2021, 10:14 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by BristolianJaguar - 03-28-2021, 09:04 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-28-2021, 09:55 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Cleatwood - 03-28-2021, 11:09 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-28-2021, 11:16 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Black and Teal - 03-28-2021, 10:15 PM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Ordar - 03-29-2021, 05:47 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by flgatorsandjags - 03-29-2021, 07:48 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by TheO-LineMatters - 03-29-2021, 09:56 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by The Real Marty - 03-31-2021, 05:21 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-31-2021, 09:14 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Cleatwood - 03-31-2021, 09:15 AM
RE: 49ers trade up to #3 - by Bullseye - 03-31-2021, 09:39 AM



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