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Article on Rookie QB Expectations

#21

(07-09-2021, 01:49 PM)SeldomRite Wrote:
(07-09-2021, 01:39 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: SeldomRite




Regarding the bolded - 
While I despise the drafting of RBs in early rounds, your perspective of draft position justification is arbitrary and merely your own view. 
Etienne doesn't "need"  to achieve those numbers to justify his selection. 
That's something you've invented and I guarantee you the people that made the decision to draft him do not agree. It actually seems pretty clear they see him as a cog in a wheel of the scheme. An integral missing piece of a puzzle, but not a production workhorse.
 Lots of different ways to value players. 

It will be interesting to see if he is integral enough to "justify" the pick in the minds of fans, but I have a feeling you are going to be disappointed based on what you think "should be expected. 

Regarding the red: The pro bowl hasn't been a valid indicator of a player's worth for many, many years.

You're right, I don't cut the roster, and I have no doubt they'll talk him up until the day he's cut (it'll happen eventually one way or another), but there is a reality that cost carries expectation with it, and a first round pick is a high cost.

If your point is we have bozos running the show that don't understand value or its importance, you may be right. It may even be that you think they'll think a guy with low production is still valuable. That may be right, too, but I doubt it. The main way of measuring the value of a player is in production, though I'm sure if he's really making a difference without high production there will be some way of statistically measuring that, too.

My point was that you have a perspective of cost vs production that isn't shared by our GM and HC as well as many NFL personnel decision makers. 

Assigning expectation of top ten production numbers to draft picks is wildly unrealistic. The very nature of the draft and the high percentage of players that fall short as professionals renders your approach an exercise in disappointment. 

The Jags FO clearly has a different view of positional value than you and I, but I simply recognize that they have deemed a versatile RB to be a valuable enough piece of their scheme to spend major draft capital on it.  I wouldn't do it, but I get why they did it and I don't necessarily think high production numbers are what will justify the pick if it does turn out to be successful. 
If Etienne is able to emerge as a big play threat as many anticipate in this suspected scheme, the respect he'll get from opposing defenses will be valuable whenever he's on the field whether he touches the ball or not.
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Messages In This Thread
Article on Rookie QB Expectations - by Bullseye - 07-07-2021, 04:21 PM
RE: Article on Rookie QB Expectations - by Mikey - 07-08-2021, 01:12 PM
RE: Article on Rookie QB Expectations - by Jag88 - 07-08-2021, 01:28 PM
RE: Article on Rookie QB Expectations - by Mikey - 07-09-2021, 02:35 PM
RE: Article on Rookie QB Expectations - by NYC4jags - 07-09-2021, 02:31 PM



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