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Firesky
The Ultimate Lifeform





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Posts: 2,566
Threads: 38
Joined: Jun 2008
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So since Khan has been an owner, the results haven't been spectacular. The drafts have been disasters with the exception of 2016 and an occasional bright spot here and there. I've often felt that whoever is making the picks for the Jags usually gets too cute about it and we leave solid players on the board chasing homeruns and upside at the cost of production and a winning pedigree. The other adage i've often heard from whoever is in charge at the top, is that they "Want to build a winning culture in Jacksonville" so I thought, what better way to build a culture than to get guys who played in the winningest cultures at the college level. Thus my premise of if the GM hired post Mularkey/Gene Smith regime took the below approach to the draft, where would we be:
If the Jaguars from 2013 to Present had only drafted players that played in the National Championship game with their early picks (rounds 1-3 mostly) here's who would have been available at each of the Jaguars picks during that timeframe to build a team; I took the top 2-3 players that were drafted after the Jaguars selections at each spot that fit the criteria, here's who would have been available at each pick in hindsight:
2013- 1st - OT DJ Fluker; OG Chance Warmack
2nd - LB Manti Te'o; RB Eddie Lacy
3rd - LB Nico Johnson
2014 - 1st - OG Zack Martin; LB CJ Mosely
2nd - OT Cyrus K; DE Stephon Tuitt
3rd - RB Devonta Freeman; LB Telvin Smith
2015 - 1st - WR Amari Cooper
2nd - RB TJ Yeldon
3rd - CB PJ Williams
2016 - 1st - CB Jalen Ramsey; OT Ronnie Stanley
2nd - LB Reggie Ragland; RB Derrick Henry; WR Michael Thomas
3rd - TE Nick Vanett
2017 - 1st - WR Mike Williams; CB Marlon Humphrey; CB Marshon Lattimore
2nd - OT Cam Robinson; WR Curtis Samuel; RB Dalvin Cook
3rd - C Pat Elflein
2018 - 1st - **QB Lamar Jackson (not a NC game player; exception made for him being a Heisman trophy winner and because passing on a QB/sticking with Bortles just to select Taven Bryan was just mind bogglingly dumb)
2nd - DE Sam Hubbard; LB Jerome Baker
3rd - S Ronnie Harrison
2019 - 1st - OT Jonah Williams
2nd - CB Trayvon Mullen; TE Irv Smith Jr.
3rd - CB Jamel Dean; RB Damien Harris
2020 - 1st - OT Jedrick Wills; WR Jerry Jeudy; LB K'Lavon Chaisson (2nd first rounder)
2nd - S Grant Delpit
3rd - DT Davon Hamilton
2021 - 1st - QB Trevor Lawrence; RB Travis Etienne (2nd first rounder)
2nd - DT Christian Barmore
3rd - WR Amari Rodgers
At a glance .... that's decisively more nfl talent, probowl talent, all-pro talent, and just players who are better at football than the players we drafted at those spots. Hindsight is 20/20, maybe we wouldn't have been drafting in the same spots if we kept adding talent like that etc. It just feels so damn simple.... logic says that players that are on teams that are good enough to make a national championship are pretty good. With only a few exceptions (Yannick Ngakoue in the 3rd round in 2016 over Nick Vanett for example) I would almost always rather have one the players in the above criteria, especially with the benefit of hindsight as a good portion are marquee players in the league; furthermore a lot of the good players we've actually drafted in this timeframe were players who fit this criteria (Jalen Ramsey, Telvin Smith, etc.)
The other thing that stuck out to me was how often the players that fit the "NC game experience" players that were available in those early rounds at are picks were at premium positions: OL, DL, CB, WR, RB and the occasional TE, LB or S. It just felt like naturally over the course of time every position of need would/could be filled by a high pedigree guy who played college football at the highest level (national championship).
On paper this collection of talent on a depth chart lined side by side with some of our recent rosters .... we'd get eclipsed almost universally across the board. Now I'm not saying that drafting only players with NC game experience in rounds 1-3 is the best strategy, but it's just shocking to me that it would yield such drastically better results than what we did each of these years.