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Trading Down scenarios
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04-06-2022, 02:12 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-06-2022, 02:19 PM by The Real Marty. Edited 1 time in total.)
Hypothetically, IF the Jags actually want to draft someone other than Hutchinson, and IF no one else knows this, don't you think the Jags would drop from #1 to #2 for very little in return? If they're going to draft Neal anyway, for example, and they know they can either have (a) Neal at #1, or (b) Neal at #2 plus anything at all, don't you think they would take (b)?
That's what I think a lot of people don't seem to understand. Sure, they aren't going to get a blockbuster deal for the #1 overall pick. But maybe they don't need a blockbuster deal for the #1 overall pick. What if the Jags couldn't decide between Walker and Hutchinson? Wouldn't they be willing to trade the #1 for #2 plus a 4th rounder, for example? If the Jags don't have any value differential between the #1 and the #2 pick, then #2 plus a 4th rounder is worth more to them than the #1 overall pick. Right? This stuff I hear on the radio about "Oh, no one is going to offer a blockbuster deal, so the Jags won't be trading the pick," is nonsense. They don't need a blockbuster deal, because the #1 overall pick just isn't worth that much more than any other pick in the top, say 4 or 5 picks. |
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