(04-25-2022, 12:21 PM)NYC4jags Wrote:

(04-25-2022, 09:27 AM)Mikey Wrote: I think if we intend to move off pick 1 the deal is not going to be in our favor.

I have no idea why Baalke thinks 33 is such a hotspot, the late firsts are the peak value picks thanks to the fifth year option. Most everyone who wants a guy bad enough to trade up to 33 probably will want that same guy enough to pay a little more for 28-32. I could be wrong, wouldn't be the first time.

Because teams picking in the 34-50 range will have 24 hours to stew over their potential desire for a player available at 33 that won't be there when their pick is due. 

It's a sound theory, but like most everything draft-related, it is dependent on how the preceding picks actually transpire.

I've heard this theory, but have always questioned it.  Yes, other teams have all day to think about a trade.  However, haven't they been thinking about it for weeks?  I believe teams go into the draft already knowing that if _______ player is available at the _______ spot that they are willing to offer _________ in trade.  

Has anyone on the internet done an analysis on this?  I would be curious if the pick is traded more often and did they get more in value.

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