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A stat some may find interesting in regards to Walker v Hutch

#67
(This post was last modified: 05-05-2022, 08:04 PM by mikesez.)

(05-03-2022, 07:25 AM)ChrisJagBoy Wrote: 1,891 snaps at DE for Hutchinson in his time at Michigan. 17.5 sacks, 27.5 TFL in 4 seasons. 

"Walker played 200 snaps as a backup in 2020, per Pro Football Focus. He had 37 of his career 65 college tackles last season. As a junior, he played 381 snaps at defensive end, 105 at defensive tackle, 98 at linebacker, 11 at nose guard and one as a cornerback, according to the NFL Network."

Can't find his snap count as a freshman for whatever reason, but based on the stats above it's pretty safe to assume he's played close to half as much football as Aidan Hutchinson, And on top of that he was not rushing the passer 100% of the time like Aidan was.

Yet, 17.5 sacks in nearly 2,000 snaps is "production" whilst 9.5 in what I would assume to be somewhere in the range of 500-700 snaps of rushing the passer, presumably less than that even looking at how Georgia played defense is considered "not producing"

It took Aidan Hutchinson 22 games to get 3.5 sacks as a pure pass rushing DE. It took Travon 29 games to get 9.5, whilst being a backup in each of his first two seasons and only just this year being a starter whilst also not rushing the passer 100% of the time. 

Hutchinson had one good year stats wise, How is this a sure fire pick? I think we made the correct choice here.

I'm not inclined to worry about him changing position so much.  I'm sure Hutchinson wasn't lined up with one hand down on the edge of the defense every time.

Instead, think of it as a batting average.
Hutchinson got about 0.9 sacks for every 100 snaps.
Walker got 1.6 sacks for every 100 snaps.
If those numbers are right.

I don't think we should compare him to DeMarcus Ware or Von Miller just because he was drafted #1 overall. Just compare him to the other guys drafted in 2022. If one of those guys turns out to clearly be better, that sucks, fire Baalke. If not, we did well, even if he's not a Von Miller clone. Von Miller wasn't available in the 2022 draft.
My fellow southpaw Mark Brunell will probably always be my favorite Jaguar.
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Messages In This Thread
homebiscuit - by homebiscuit - 05-03-2022, 11:22 AM
RE: A stat some may find interesting in regards to Walker v Hutch - by mikesez - 05-05-2022, 08:00 PM



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