(10-04-2022, 10:08 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: In terms of the play calling, there's a couple of different things that opened it to criticism.  19 runs versus 23 passes doesn't sound that lopsided.  On a sunny day, maybe it's not.  However, we were playing in heavy rain and heavy wind.  The Jaguars used passing plays 55% of the time versus the Eagles who passed only 33% of the time.  The Eagles' strategy seemed smarter to many at the time.  The Eagles then "coincidentally" win.

You also need to keep in mind that the 19 running plays included two runs by Lawrence and one by Kirk.  Our running backs only ran 16 times (8 for JRob and 8 for ETN) or about 38% of the time.  

We also gave up on James Robinson very early.  He opened the game with a decent 5 yard run before Pederson  decided to throw the ball on 2nd and 5 and 3rd and 5 which resulted in incompletions and the punt.  People were already questioning why he skipped over a couple of good run opportunities in favor of the pass in heavy rain.  

On our second possession, it was wonderful.  Pederson did what he should do.  We focus on JRob and mix in the pass.  We ran JRob 5 times and mixed in the pass 3 times.  The result?  We march 80 yards down the field and score a touchdown!  We found a formula that worked, so what do we do?  We completely abandon it!!!  This was only our second possession of the game and still in the first quarter.  We ran JRob only TWO TIMES for the entire rest of the game and one of them was a meaningless run to kill the final 26 seconds of the first half.  I was wondering if he was injured, but we did use him once in the third quarter, again I emphasize the word ONCE.  Why?  Why?  Why?  Is it because he fumbled once?  If so, we are lowering ourselves to the stupidity of the Urban Meyer era.

You’re playing games by quoting percentages rather than presenting the data.  Pederson said it best post game when he noted that the Jags didn’t have enough opportunities because those turnovers killed too many drives.  Better ball protection is required.

Jag:
  Pass: 11/23
  Run: 19
  Total plays: 42

PHI:
  Pass: 16/25
  Run: 50
  Total plays: 75


There’s not secret sauce.  Five turnovers killed too many drives.  And the fewer chances we had the more risks we had to take.  A string of five (from memory) straight incomplete short passes killed every drive in the second and third quarters that didn’t end in a turnover. 

The Jags simply did not have enough opportunities because they did not maintain possession of the ball.  Philly played in the same rainstorm and lost the ball only one time.  They played in the same storm and fumbled only once rather than five times.  Ball security, pure and simple, was the issue in that game.  Not game plan.

Jag’s drives:
Q1
1: Three and out
2: Touchdown
Q2
3: Fumble
4: Three and out
5: Fumble
6: One play to end the half
Q3
7: Three and out
8: Interception
Q4
9: Fumble
10: Touchdown
11: Fumble

10 drives (we won’t count the 1 play drive to end the first half)
5 killed by turnovers
3 three and outs
2 drives for touchdowns

Ball security. The discussion begins and ends there. And the hill that Jax had to climb is also reflected in starting field position. Jags average start? The 23 yard line. PHI? The 38.

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