(10-10-2022, 09:39 PM)JagFan81 Wrote:

(10-10-2022, 07:50 PM)Cleatwood Wrote: https://twitter.com/nate_tice/status/157...nspJNiNakw

Jump off the wagon if you want but I’m still firmly on board.

He didn’t play a great game by any means but he’s still got all the tools and skills to be elite. Just have to put it all together with Pederson. I have full confidence in both guys.

We also had 20 pass plays over 20 yards on Sunday and moved the ball down the field but that is irrelevant it seems. 

This fan base has just had too many rough years and bad games immediately turn you into the last bad player we had. It's been an abusive relationship being a Jags fan and it's weird this first bump in the road and it's throw it all away. You would think we would have learnt from doing that the last 5 years.

Because I have nothing better to do and I was interested to see if it was true we had 20 pass plays over 20 yards, I decided to count them.  The NFL calls any pass with a target 15+ yards down field a long pass.  A short pass is a target <15 yards.

TL threw 47 passes in total.  33 short, 13 long and 1 spike.

The passing results on each drive:

Q1:
  Drive 1: 1/2 short, 0/0 long, dunt
  2: 2/2 short, 0/1 long, punt
  3: 3/5 short, 0/0 long, FG
Q2:
  4: 0/2 short, 1/1 long, downs
  5: 2/4 short, 2/2 long, FG
Q3:
  6: 2/3 short, 1/1 long, INT on a short pass
  7: 4/4 short, 1/2 long, downs
Q4:
  8: 0/3 short, 0/0 long, punt
  9: 2/5 short, 1/3 long, downs
10: 3/3 short, 0/3, INT on a long pass

So overall he was (putting aside the spiked ball) 25/46 (54% completion rate), 19/33 on short passes (57%) and 6/13 on long passes (46%).  That coupled with no TD’s and two INTs netting him a QB rating of 54.0.  Short pass accuracy and better throwing decisions to avoid INTs is the quickest path for TL to improve his play.

He throws inaccurately because his feet aren’t set.
His feet aren’t set because he’s dancing in and around the pocket.
He’s dancing around the pocket because his decision-making is too reactionary.
His decision making is poor because he’s not reading plays until they develop.

Everything improves if he can anticipate play, read the progressions and let his throwing mechanics take care of themselves.  As it is, he’s like a kid learning to drive.  Every move is conscious.  Little behaviour is learned and automatic.

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