I'm talking about split tickets. They are rare unless a candidate is more closely aligned with the other party's values. Manchin, Sinema, etc. You don't typically see big shifts in voting (Warnock vs Walker) when the candidate's values are in opposition to the party. Kemp and Walker are not as far apart as Warnock and Kemp. Walker is an exception to this rule considering his qualifications (or lack thereof, and I am acknowledging that as a possibility for this disparity. Even then, historically, you don't see a deviation in this. Look at Pennsylvania. Oz, despite being a more functional human being, lost to Fetterman because the ideology is off. Shapiro carried voters to Fetterman. Kemp should carry votes for Walker. The independent candidate could also have something to do with that loss, but they didn't exactly crush it, so who knows.

---