(11-25-2022, 01:49 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote:

(11-25-2022, 01:29 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: I agree that proper draft evaluation is the key.  Taking the best player is more important than taking offense versus defense.  That's definitely true and is the key to the draft.

That being said, if deciding among players with roughly equal projected talent, I look for the player that will represent the biggest improvement to the team.  Let's say a player's talent is rated on a scale from 1 to 100 with 100 being the best.  Let's also hypothetically say that we have the opportunity to draft an 80 at a specific offensive position or an 80 at a specific defensive position.  If the offensive pick plays at a position where you already have a 70, that's only 10 points of improvement.  If the defensive pick plays at a position where you currently have a 30, that's 50 points of improvement.  I want the most improvement for the team.  I want 50 points of improvement versus only 10.  That's why I go position by position and not "offense vs defense."  It's a pretty basic concept and some would even say it is common sense, but it is amazing how many people argue against common sense.

Your way of thinking was fine in the 1990s, but in the modern NFL offensive players of comparable talent to defensive players are worth twice as much. That's just the way they've made the game work now, spending high draft and free agent capital on defenders should come right after you got your running back; ie the last piece of the puzzle.

We may have to agree to disagree.  NFL teams disagree with you too.  Both offense and defense counts.  The first round of last year's draft was split straight down the middle with 16 offensive players and 16 defensive players.  The second round actually slightly favored the defense with 17 defensive players compared to 15 offensive players.  If you have a slight preference towards offense, that's fine.  To say that you should 100% go offense and ignore defense, I disagree.

---

(11-26-2022, 07:58 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: CB, pass rusher, WR would all be good.  I wouldn't complain about any of them.  But we might have our pass rusher, if Walker develops and Josh Allen gets back on track.  And we might have our WR in Calvin Ridley.  But we don't have anyone at CB.  And we lost several games this year in the last minute when a CB lost his matchup.  So I lean toward CB.

This is logical.  I agree.

---