(02-14-2023, 03:35 PM)rpr52121 Wrote:

(02-14-2023, 10:40 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: I'd just let him show me what he's worth instead of extending him prematurely. 

If you were over a barrel and had to pay him on an extension now for some mysterious reason, which we do not have,  the numbers he's put up thus far say he's worth about 14 million per year. 

That's 5.7 million less per year than the current franchise tag at the position if anyone needs reference/comparison.

At this moment, $16 million/year would make him the 10/11th highest paid edge player. While there aren't many great Edge guys slated for FA this year in 2023, next year in 2024 has a whole slew of guys.

By the beginning of the 2024  season, $16 million/year will easily be equal to the ~20-24th highest paid edge player. On top of that, if you wait until next year 24 off season, all those guys hitting FA/new deals are going to pump up that franchise tag and and the market price for Allen even more.

True, Allen has not gotten enough sacks, but I think we all recognize that he is an above average starting Edge in the league. Given most of the improvements to the defense in the next 2 years will be via the draft and cost controlled, I think extending him is reasonable right now. 

Using the cap space on him rather than say some other FA DT/DE/CB/S in FA seems to be a bit safer, and you can always just make sure there is minimal dead cap after 2 years.