(04-29-2023, 10:02 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: I was curious in whether our picks were considered "value" by the various media outlets.  I found a site that provided the rankings from the various sites that ranked draft prospects.  I used the median ranking for each of our draft picks.  I think that's fairer than average.  Average sometimes gets distorted by one ignorant person.  In the case of an even number of sites evaluating the player, I averaged the two rankings in the middle.  Below are our draft pick's positions compared to where they were ranked.  For example, if they were ranked 18th and drafted 20th, it would be +2.  If they were ranked 50th and drafted 40th, it would be -10.  Positive numbers are good negative numbers are bad.  Here are how our picks faired:

Antonio Johnson +110
Parker Washington +55
Tank Bigsby -0.5
Anton Harrison -3
Yasir Abdullah -9
Tyler Lacy -37
Ventrell Miller -38
Brenton Strange -47.5
Derek Parish -52
Cooper Hodges -205
Raymond Vohasek -233

Erick Hallett wasn't listed on their site, but that's not a good sign either.  

Basically, according to this, we got 2 steals, 3 just short of fair value and 6 major reaches of more than 1 round.  

Take it for what it's worth, but based upon pre-draft prospect projections, we did a poor job of getting value in this draft.

(04-29-2023, 10:06 PM)Newton Wrote: This seems like a draft that just didn’t fall the right way for us. I hope I’m wrong, but usually the wisdom of the crowd is correct.

This draft was about depth and laying bricks on top of a decent foundation that was established last year, primarily through free agency.

You're not going to land a starter in every round. You can, however, pin prospects down for specific roles and that's what they did in this draft.

I see at least three starters here with five to six role players. The rest of these guys are practice squad material that will have to really cut their teeth on special team's or outshine an already established 3rd - 4th string player on the roster.

This draft generally provided many, many problems for the experts, amateurs and armchair mock community. I saw A LOT of so called "can't miss, day one, day two" prospects fall as far as the bottom of round three and round four.

This also staggered other players down. Will Levis went from Vegas odds 1/2 overall to day 2. McDonald and Forbes, "undersized" defenders that were day two players went before guys like Murphy, Smith, Banks & Gonzalez.

We landed a nickel S/CB in Johnson at 160 today when everybody said we were taking Branch at 24 when also slipped to day 2. Same for Torrence. We were also told 3, 4 TE's would be drafted on the opening night to just Kincaid barely being the lone pick there with Buffalo.

We saw LaPorta off the board before Mayer. We saw Washington free fall to RD3. We saw a wide variety of things the experts said would happen that ultimately didn't.

While it's cute that we like dishing grades out. Myself included. The reality is that you can't truly grade any of these guys yet because they get to take tests that go on for at least two, three years.



Sent from my SM-S906U using Tapatalk

---