(06-24-2023, 06:55 AM)Caldrac Wrote:

(06-23-2023, 11:43 PM)ChrisJagBoy Wrote: 10-7 with this schedule imo would be a very meh season. Don't get me wrong, playoffs are great and all but man.. on paper, theres like 4 or 5 games I can see us losing. I feel like we would have to regress at multiple positions to lose 7 games with the schedule given, that or some of the absolutely awful teams we play miraculously get good outta no where.

Going back to that guys point in that 2nd video about divisional games. How often does a top team within their division actually sweep their divisional opponents? It's very rare. The Chiefs pulled it off last year. The 49ers pulled it off as well. 

I am sure the Patriots probably did it a few times with Belichick and Brady but they even had some clunkers with the Jets and Dolphins from time to time. But, you cannot go into every year thinking you're going to win 5 games or sweep all of your divisional opponents. It's just not common. 

Bengals lost to Pittsburgh, Baltimore & Cleveland last year. Going 3 - 3 and winning their division.
Buffalo lost to Miami & New York last year. Going 4 - 2 and winning their division. 

Looking at us historically. I think any of the road games are 50/50. Regardless of their QB situations. I think historically we have the clots number here at home. I think the tacks are 50/50 here at home. The tinhorns still give us fits. So, there's something to be said to that. I think we'll look back at the divisional road games and the Saints, Steelers and Browns games where it'll be the difference between us entering the play-off's with guns blazing or limping in barely after a lot of games came down to the 12th round in a slugfest. 

This could be a team that really scratches heads and pisses us off as a fanbase this year. You watch. They'll pull some goofy [BLEEP], where, they'll probably upset the Chiefs early at home and curbstomp the Bills in London early, only, they'll turn around later and lay eggs on nationally televised games against the Ravens and Bengals. They'll probably lose in OT to the Saints and then pistol whip the 49ers. They'll probably go 3 - 3 in the division and we might barely win the division.

It'll be exciting nonetheless.

No, it's not common to sweep all of your division games, but how often are all three of your opponents coming off losing seasons with 2 of the 3 teams being ones that were picking in the top 5 of the draft?  The AFC South teams aren't projected to take a big leap either.  The Las Vegas odds has the Cardinals as the only NFL team with fewer predicted wins this season than the Texans and Colts.  Additionally, as Bullseye mentioned, all three teams drafted a quarterback early.  It's extremely common for quarterbacks to struggle during their rookie year.  Rookie quarterbacks are also even more likely to struggle early in the season.  We have games against the Colts/Texans include weeks 1, 3 and 6.  We play the Titans late, but I think that's a good thing.  They have Tannehill and will likely use him until their season is pretty much over.  Late in the season, they will likely throw in the towel and use Levis to see if he's the guy.  Week 11 is iffy, but I would almost be surprised if we didn't see Levis when we play them in the final game of the season.  I'm not saying the Jaguars are 100% going 6-0.  Every given Sunday is very real in the NFL.  Upsets happen.  However, I think 5-1 or better isn't being unrealistic.  I would be disappointed with 4-2 given the quality of this division.

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